Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/5/25 NBA Picks

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets beat the Pistons, lost to the Celtics, and they play the Suns, Thunder, and Timberwolves next. The Nuggets have lost three of their last five games, but they’ve lost just once at home since January 31.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.1 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 116 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 12.7 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.4 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.2 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won eight of their last nine games at Ball Arena.
• The Kings have lost eight of their last nine road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in five of their last six games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Kings have won five of their last six road games.
• The Nuggets have lost four of their last seven games as home favorites following a loss.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a road loss.
• The road team has covered the spread in four of the Kings' last five games.

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report 

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, Peyton Watson, and Vlatko Cancar. Zeke Nnaji, Nikola Jokic, and Aaron Gordon are questionable for the Nuggets.

The Sacramento Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis due to a hamstring injury. Malik Monk is questionable for the Kings with a toe sprain. 

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets are going to be favored in pretty much every home game and for good reason. The problem is we’re seeing a lot of key players on the Nuggets injury report, so it’s going to be worth monitoring leading up to tip. Also, the Kings have turned things around lately with wins in seven of their last nine games and three straight road wins. The Kings have 17 road wins on the season overall. The Nuggets should win assuming their key guys play, but the value is with the Kings and the points given their recent play these last couple of weeks. The talent was always there, it was a matter of figuring things out. Maybe the Kings have? Give me the points.