Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 1/7/25 NBA Picks

Golden State Warriors (18-17) vs Miami Heat (17-17)

Game Info: Tuesday, January 7, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Chase Center)

Betting Odds: Golden State Warriors -9.5 -- Over/Under: 218.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

The Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Kings and Jazz, and they play the Jazz, Trail Blazers, and Clippers next. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.1 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.8 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.6 points and 5.5 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Grizzlies, lost to the Kings, and they play the Pistons, Pacers, Raptors, and Wolves next. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 112.2 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 111 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 22.5 points and 6.3 assists, while Jonathan Kuminga averages 16.8 points and 2.2 assists. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer and Buddy Hield is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 71.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won each of their last seven night games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Heat have lost seven of their last eight games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents after coming off overtime.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The underdogs have won five of the Heat's last seven games.
  • The Warriors have lost each of their last five games after losing as favorites.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight games.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Draymond Green is one of only seven qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
  • Dennis Schroder ranks 24th amongst qualified players for assists per game (5.9) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

  • Bam Adebayo ranks T6th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.5) this season.
  • Duncan Robinson ranks 15th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Warriors rank 3rd in the league for rebounds per game this season (46.3).
  • The Warriors rank 28th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (6.1).
  • The Heat rank 29th in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (32.4%).
  • The Heat ranks 29th in the league for pace this season (96.9).

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

I don't want to back the Heat as much as the next guy. The Heat lost by a million at home to a horrible Jazz team, and they just lost to the Kings last night despite having a 19-point lead at one point. The Heat then lost multiple leads in overtime. The Heat are also dealing with the Jimmy Butler nonsense and now are on the end of a back-to-back despite playing double overtime. It would surprise nobody to see the Heat roll over like a dog due to mental and physical fatigue. With all that said, the Warriors have been hit or miss this season, and they're 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Also, the Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when favorites of 8 or more points. Just because the Heat have their issues doesn't mean we throw all of these points in the Warriors direction. It's Heat or pass for me.

Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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