Sacramento Kings (17-19) vs Miami Heat (17-16)
Game Info: Monday, January 6, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Golden 1 Center)
Betting Odds: Sacramento Kings -3.5 / Miami Heat +3.5 --- Over/Under: 224.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Miami Heat and Sacramento Kings meet Monday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Pacers and Jazz, and they play the Warriors, Jazz, and Trail Blazers next. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.1 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.8 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.6 points and 5.5 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings beat the Grizzlies and Warriors, and they play the Celtics, Bulls, Bucks, and Rockets next. The Sacramento Kings are averaging 115.8 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 113.7 points on 46.5 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 26.7 points and 4.9 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 20.8 points and 3.9 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Malik Monk is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 38 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Kings have won seven of their last eight games at Golden 1 Center against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have lost six of their last seven road games against Pacific Division opponents after losing as favorites.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 road games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
- The Kings have covered the spread in four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Heat's last five games at Golden 1 Center.
- The Kings have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 15 games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
Sacramento Kings Player Facts
- DeMar DeRozan ranks 27th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.4) this season.
- Keegan Murray ranks 17th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (7.3) this season.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Bam Adebayo ranks 7th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (9.8) this season.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks 25th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Kings rank 3rd in the league for free throw percentage this season (80.8%).
- The Kings rank 4th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (9.7).
- The Heat rank T29th in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (30.3%).
- The Heat rank 29th for second-chance points (374) this season.
Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
I'm not sure how anybody can back the Miami Heat after the effort they had against the Jazz. The Heat lost at home to the Jazz by 36 points. You, myself, and three of your buddies could be more competitive against the Jazz. It's only fair to say the Jimmy Butler drama is impacting the Heat negatively, as there's no other way to explain that result. The Sacramento Kings are on the end of a back-to-back, but they're riding a four-game winning streak and have to like their chances here. The Heat are coming off two ugly losses and have allowed a combined 264 points in those games. I'm getting a bad feeling about the Heat, and I don't think that will go away until this Butler situation is handled. Give me the Kings and the reasonable chalk.
Randy’s Pick Sacramento Kings -3.5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
