Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction NBA Picks 1/6/25

Memphis Grizzlies (23-13) vs Dallas Mavericks (20-15)

Game Info: Monday, January 6, 2025 at 8:00 pm (FedExForum)

Betting Odds: Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 / Dallas Mavericks +5.5 --- Over/Under: 238.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies meet Monday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Rockets and Cavs, and they play the Lakers, Trail Blazers, and Nuggets next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 116.7 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 112.1 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.3 points and 4.6 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Kings and Warriors, and they play the Rockets, Timberwolves, and Spurs next. The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 123.3 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 115 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.3 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 21.2 points and 7.9 assists. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer and Santi Aldama is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Grizzlies have won each of their last seven games at FedExForum following a loss.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last four games.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last seven games at FedExForum following a loss.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last seven night games at FedExForum following a home loss.
  • The Grizzlies have lost each of their last nine Monday night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six night games at FedExForum.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

  • Jake LaRavia ranks 20th amongst qualified Forwards for assists per game (3.4) this season.
  • Zach Edey leads all Grizzlies players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.0) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Klay Thompson ranks 13th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.0) this season.
  • Spencer Dinwiddie ranks 13th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for FT% (87.1%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for Q2 points per game this season (31.4).
  • The Grizzlies rank 30th in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (30.2).
  • The Dallas Mavericks are one of only three teams to win a road game against the Thunder this season.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are one of only three teams to lose a home game against the Suns this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

This is a tough matchup when you consider the Mavs will be without Luka and Kyrie. The Grizzlies have a laundry list of injuries which includes no Ja. With that said, the Mavs have lost five of their last six games and are getting drilled defensively. The Grizzlies are used to injuries, so I'm less worried about them finding ways to keep the train moving. The Grizzlies are also 14-4 SU at home this season. I just can't get behind the Mavericks when they're down their two best players. The Grizzlies are one of the best home teams in the league, and they find ways to win regardless of what the lineup looks like night-to-night. The line is somewhat reasonable. Give me the Grizzlies and the chalk. 

Randy’s Pick Memphis Grizzlies -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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