Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction NBA Picks 5/7/24

Oklahoma City Thunder (61-25) vs Dallas Mavericks (54-34)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 9:30 pm (Paycom Center)

Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -140 / Dallas Mavericks +120 --- Over/Under: 214 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Tuesday in Game 1 West Second Round NBA Playoffs action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 6-game series against the Clippers and will play for the first time in 4 days. The Mavs are in the second round of the playoffs for the second time since the 2011-12 season. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 107 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 100.3 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 29.8 points and 9.5 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 26.5 points and 5.7 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick Jones Jr. is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 72.6 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder are coming off a sweep of the Pelicans and haven’t played since April 29. The Thunder are in the second round of the playoffs for the first time since the 2015-16 season. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 105.3 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 89.5 points on 39.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.3 points and 5 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.3 points and 7.3 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Josh Giddey is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 26.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report

The Dallas Mavericks will be without Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Maxi Kleber and Greg Brown III. Luka Doncic and Tim Hardaway Jr. are listed as probable despite a knee injury and ankle injury, respectively. The Oklahoma City Thunder don’t have a single player on their injury report, making them the healthiest team in the NBA playoffs.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.0) this season.
  • Chet Holmgren rank 3rd amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (3.0) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Daniel Gafford ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (72.5%) this season.
  • Kyrie Irving ranks 7th amongst qualified players for FT% (90.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Thunder rank T1st in the league for steals per game this season (8.5).
  • The Thunder rank T1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.6).
  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (39.5).

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder should get the benefit of the doubt because they're the top seed in the West, at home where they're 35-8 SU this season and have a ton of rest with no injuries. The Thunder have also won 4 of the last 5 games against the Mavs. I get it. However, the Thunder are still an extremely young team, and I'm interested to see how they respond to the added pressure and against a team that has postseason success. The Dallas Mavericks are a far more playoff experienced team than the Pelicans were, and that Luka - Kyrie combo is hard to bet against in the underdog role. The Mavericks are also getting back Tim Hardaway Jr. which is a nice addition at both ends of the floor. I kind of like the Mavs to win this series, so I'm going to grab the free buckets whenever I can. Give me the Mavericks.

Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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