Jul 5, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; D.C. United forward Christian Benteke (20) battles Atlanta United defender Luis Abram (44) for the ball during the first half at Audi Field. Mandatory Credit: Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction 07/12/2025 Picks

Pick details

Atlanta (4-6-10) vs Toronto (4-5-11)

July 12, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto FC +145 / Atlanta United +155 — Over/Under: 2.75

(Get latest betting odds)

Atlanta United will visit Toronto FC on Saturday, July 12th, 2025, at the BMO Field in this Week 22 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Prediction. We will examine:
Toronto FC recent form and player performance
Atlanta United recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Toronto FC
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta United
Recent betting trends in games played between the Atlanta United and Toronto FC
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Atlanta United vs Toronto FC game

Toronto FC Preview

Toronto has 17 points this season and are sitting on the second to last place of the Eastern Conference. Toronto has a 4-11-5 record this season and have a 2-7-3 home record. Toronto is coming off a 1-3 road defeat by New York City FC, and have four losses in their last six games. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 games.

Toronto is averaging 1.15 goals per game, while allowing 1.40 goals per game. Federico Bernardeschi is the top scorer for Toronto this season with 4 total goals.

Atlanta United Preview

Atlanta United has 18 points this season and are sitting on the 13th place of the Eastern Conference. Atlanta United has a 4-10-6 record this season and have a 0-7-3 road record. Atlanta United is coming off a 0-0 road draw against DC United, and have three losses and one draw in their last four games. They are 0-6-2 in their last 7 road games and over is 6-3 in their last 9 road games.  

Atlanta United is averaging 1.10 goals per game, while allowing 1.85 goals per game. Emmanuel Latte Lath is the top scorer for Atlanta United this season with 5 total goals, while Saba Lobzhanidze is the team’s top passer, with 5 total assists.

Why Toronto FC will win

Atlanta United FC has lost each of its last five MLS games as an away favorite.
Atlanta United FC has lost each of its last three MLS night games as an away favorite.
Atlanta United FC has lost six of its last seven MLS games following a draw.
The home team has won five of Atlanta United FC’s last six MLS games.
Toronto FC has won five of its last seven MLS home games against Atlanta United FC.

Why Atlanta United will win

Toronto FC has lost four of its last five MLS games as a favorite.
Toronto FC has lost four of its last five MLS games as a home favorite.
Toronto FC has lost five of its last seven MLS night games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Atlanta United FC’s last five MLS games as a favorite against Toronto FC.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Toronto FC’s last five MLS games as an underdog against Atlanta United FC.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in six of Toronto FC’s last seven MLS games as an underdog against Atlanta United FC.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Toronto FC’s last 10 MLS night games as a favorite.
The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Atlanta United FC’s last four MLS games as a favorite.

Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Prediction

Both teams are a balanced 2-2-3 in their last 7 overall meetings, but Toronto is 5-1-1 in their last 7 home meetings against Atlanta. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 overall meetings. 
In this Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Both teams have almost the same number of points and are two of the three worst teams currently in the East. Both teams are in terrible form so I trust neither team to win this game, but Toronto has only one home loss in their last 7 home meetings against Atlanta, and they are also better both offensively and defensively.  I expect the hosts to not lose this game, so take Toronto FC PK in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Toronto FC PK

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