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Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Prediction 07/12/2025 Picks
Pick details
New York (8-6-7) vs Philadelphia (12-4-5)
July 12, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Union -115 / New York Red Bulls +270 — Over/Under: 2.5
New York Red Bulls will visit Philadelphia Union on Saturday, July 12th, 2025, at the Subaru Park in this Week 22 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction. We will examine:
Philadelphia Union recent form and player performance
New York Red Bulls recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia Union
Recent betting trends and streaks involving New York Red Bulls
Recent betting trends in games played between the New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union game
Philadelphia Union Preview
Philadelphia has 40 points this season and are sitting on the third place of the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia has a 12-5-4 record this season, and are 6-1-3 at home. Philadelphia is coming off a 0-1 road defeat by Nashville, and have back-to-back losses. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Philadelphia is averaging 1.67 goals per game, while allowing 1.00 goals per game. Thai Baribo is the top scorer for Philadelphia this season with 12 total goals.
New York Red Bulls Preview
New York Red Bulls have 30 points this season and are sitting on the 8th place of the Eastern Conference. New York has an 8-7-6 record this season, and are 1-6-4 on the road. New York is coming off a 1-1 road draw against San Jose, and have only one loss in their last 8 games. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
New York is averaging 1.73 goals per game, while allowing 1.19 goals per game. Choupo-Moting is the top scorer for New York this season, with 8 total goals.
Why Philadelphia Union will win
Philadelphia Union has won four of its last five MLS games against New York Red Bulls.
Philadelphia Union has won four of its last five MLS night games against New York Red Bulls.
Philadelphia Union has won four of its last six MLS home games.
Philadelphia Union has won six of its last seven MLS games as a favorite.
The home team has won three of Philadelphia Union’s last four MLS games.
The favorite has won three of Philadelphia Union’s last four MLS games.
New York Red Bulls have lost four of their last five MLS games as underdogs.
New York Red Bulls have lost four of their last five MLS games as away underdogs.
Total Points Facts
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in four of the last five MLS night games between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Philadelphia Union’s last five MLS games as a favorite.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of New York Red Bulls’ last four MLS games.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Philadelphia Union’s last seven MLS games as a favorite.
The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 MLS games between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls.
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction
Philadelphia is a dominating 9-0-4 in their last 13 overall meetings against New York Red Bulls, and are 7-0-2 in their last 9 meetings in Philly. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 overall meetings, and 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Philadelphia.
In this New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Philadelphia is coming as -115 home favorites. Philadelphia is rightfully favored, as they have 10 more points than the New York Red Bulls, and have been great at home, but they have lost two straight games and are facing a red-hot New York Red Bulls team that has only one defeat in their last eight matches, so I will take a pass on the side. Both teams have elite defenses this season, allowing 2.19 goals combined and they have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, so I like a low-scoring affair today. Take the under 2.5 goals.
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 2.5
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