Apr 23, 2022; Chester, Pennsylvania, USA; CF Montr  al goalkeeper Sebastian Breza (1) makes a save against Philadelphia Union defender Nathan Harriel (26) during the first half at Subaru Park. Mandatory Credit: Mitchell Leff-Imagn Images

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal Montréal Prediction 07/16/2025 Picks

Pick details

CF Montréal (3-6-13) vs Philadelphia (13-4-5)

July 16, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Union -225 / Montreal Impact +500 — Over/Under: 3

(Get latest betting odds)

Montreal Impact will visit Philadelphia Union on Wednesday, July 16th, 2025, at the Subaru Park in this Week 23 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Montreal Impact vs Philadelphia Union Prediction. We will examine:
Philadelphia Union recent form and player performance
Montreal Impact recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia Union
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Montreal Impact
Recent betting trends in games played between the Montreal Impact and Philadelphia Union
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Montreal Impact vs Philadelphia Union game

Philadelphia Union Preview

Philadelphia has 43 points this season and are sitting on the first place of the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia has a 13-5-4 record this season, and are 7-1-3 at home. Philadelphia is coming off a 2-0 home victory over New York Red Bulls, which snapped their previous two-game losing streak. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games.

Philadelphia is averaging 1.68 goals per game, while allowing 0.95 goals per game. Thai Baribo is the top scorer for Philadelphia this season with 13 total goals.

Montreal Impact Preview

Montreal has just 15 points this season and sitting in the last place of the Eastern Conference. Montreal has a 3-13-6 record and has a 2-7-3 road record. Montreal is coming off a 1-1 road draw against Orlando City, and have only one loss in their last four games. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games.

Montreal is averaging 0.86 goals per game, while allowing 1.86 goals per game. Prince-Osei Owusu leads Montreal’s offense this season with 9 total goals.

Why Philadelphia Union will win

Philadelphia Union has won 19 of its last 27 MLS home games following a win.
Philadelphia Union has won five of its last six MLS games as a home favorite.
Montreal has lost each of its last seven MLS away games following a draw.
Montreal has lost each of its last six MLS games following a draw.
The home team has won four of Philadelphia Union’s last five MLS games.
The home team has won each of Philadelphia Union’s last three MLS games.
The favorite has won four of Philadelphia Union’s last five MLS games.

Total Points Facts

The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of the last five MLS games between Philadelphia Union and Montreal at Subaru Park.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Montreal’s last eight MLS games as an underdog against Philadelphia Union.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 10 of the last 11 MLS games between Philadelphia Union and Montreal.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of the last eight MLS games between Philadelphia Union and Montreal.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last five MLS games between Philadelphia Union and Montreal.

Montreal Impact vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

In their previous meeting this season, Philadelphia won 2-1 on the road. Philadelphia is 3-1-1 in their last 5 overall meetings against Montreal, and are 5-0-3 in their last 8 meetings in Philly. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.
In this Montreal Impact vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Philadelphia is coming as -225 home favorites. Philadelphia is rightfully favored, as they are the best team in the East, facing the team sitting in the bottom of the conference. Philadelphia has been excellent at home, with seven wins and two draws in their last nine home games, so I expect them to crush a terrible Montreal squad. Take Philadelphia Union by -1 goals, as the moneyline is too juiced.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Philadelphia Union -1

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