Mar 8, 2025; New York, New York, USA; New York City FC midfielder Hannes Wolf (17) defends the ball against Orlando City defender Rafael Santos (3) during the second half at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Smith-Imagn Images

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC Prediction 07/16/2025 Picks

Pick details

New York City (9-4-8) vs Orlando City (9-8-5)

July 16, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Orlando City SC -150 / New York City FC +350 — Over/Under: 3

(Get latest betting odds)

New York City FC will visit Orlando City SC on Wednesday, July 16th, 2025, at the Inter&Co Stadium in this Week 23 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York City FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction. We will examine:
Orlando City SC recent form and player performance
New York City FC recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Orlando City SC
Recent betting trends and streaks involving New York City FC
Recent betting trends in games played between the New York City FC and Orlando City SC
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New York City FC vs Orlando City SC game

Orlando City SC Preview

Orlando City has 35 points this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the Eastern Conference. Orlando City has a 9-5-8 record this season, while having a 5-3-3 home record. Orlando City is coming off a 1-1 home draw against Montreal, and have only two wins in their last 7 games and are 1-1-3 in their last 5 home games. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games.

Orlando City is averaging 1.82 goals per game, while allowing 1.32 goals per game. Martín Ojeda is the top scorer for Orlando City this season with 8 total goals, and he is also the team’s top passer, with 7 total assists.

New York City FC Preview

New York City FC has 31 points this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the Eastern Conference. New York City has a 9-8-4 record this season and have a 1-5-4 road record. New York City is coming off a 0-2 road defeat by Charlotte, and have only 3 losses in their last 9 games. Over is 5-2 in their 7 games.

New York City is averaging 1.29 goals per game, while allowing 1.10 goals per game. Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista is the top scorer for New York City this season with 8 total goals.

Why Orlando City SC will win

The home team has won each of New York City FC’s last four MLS games.
The home team has won six of New York City FC’s last eight MLS games.
The favorite has won six of the last eight MLS games between Orlando City SC and New York City FC.
The favorite has won three of New York City FC’s last four MLS games.

Why New York City FC will win

New York City FC has won three of its last four MLS games against Orlando City SC.
New York City FC has won three of its last four MLS night games against Orlando City SC.
New York City FC has won three of its last four MLS night games following a loss.
The away team has won four of Orlando City SC’s last six MLS games.

Total Points Facts

The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 12 of the last 14 MLS games between Orlando City SC and New York City FC.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of the last seven MLS games between Orlando City SC and New York City FC at Inter&Co Stadium.
The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of New York City FC’s last six MLS away games.
The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Orlando City SC’s last six MLS home games against New York City FC.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Orlando City SC’s last 10 MLS night games at Inter&Co Stadium.

New York City FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction

In their previous meeting this season, New York City FC won 2-1 at home. New York City FC is 4-0-2 in their last 6 overall meetings against Orlando, and five of their last eight meetings in Orlando ended up in a draw. Both teams to score – Yes is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings.
In this New York City FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction, Orlando City is coming as -150 home favorites. Orlando City is rightfully favored, as they have more points this season, and are up against a New York City team that has only one road win. Orlando is coming into this matchup in poor form, and New York has only lost three times in their last nine games. Five of their last 8 meetings in Orlando were also draws, so I like New York City FC to not lose this game. Take New York City FC at +1 for push protection if they lose by one goal.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: New York City FC +1

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