Apr 12, 2025; Carson, California, USA; Houston Dynamo FC goalkeeper Jimmy Maurer (1) and LA Galaxy defender John Nelson (14) battle for the header during the second half at Dignity Health Sports Park. Mandatory Credit: Kelvin Kuo-Imagn Images

Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction 07/25/2025 Picks

Pick details

Los Angeles (3-7-14) vs Houston (7-6-11)

July 25, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Houston Dynamo +100 / LA Galaxy +210 — Over/Under: 3

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a LA Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo Prediction for this MLS game on Friday, July 25th, at the Shell Energy Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLS matchup.

Houston Dynamo Preview

Houston has 27 points this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the Western Conference. Houston has a 7-11-6 record this season and are 4-7-2 at home. Houston is coming off a 1-1 home draw against Philadelphia, and have been winless in six of their last eight games. Over is 8-3 in their 11 games. 

Houston is averaging 1.21 goals per game, while allowing 1.63 goals per game. Ezequiel Ponce leads Houston’s offense this season with 7 total goals.

LA Galaxy Preview

LA Galaxy has 16 points this season and are sitting on the last place of the Western Conference. LA Galaxy has a 3-14-7 record this season and are 0-8-5 on the road. LA Galaxy is coming off a 3-3 road draw against LA FC, but have lost only once in their last five games. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games.

LA Galaxy is averaging 1.17 goals per game, while allowing 2.00 goals per game. Reus Marco is the top scorer for LA Galaxy this season with 5 total goals.

Why Houston Dynamo will win

  • Houston has won three of its last four MLS night games against LA Galaxy at Shell Energy Stadium.
  • LA Galaxy has lost each of its last three MLS away games following a draw.
  • LA Galaxy has lost seven of its last 10 MLS away games.
  • LA Galaxy has lost six of its last nine MLS games as an away underdog.
  • The favorite has won four of the last six MLS games between Houston and LA Galaxy.
  • The favorite has won each of LA Galaxy’s last three MLS games at Shell Energy Stadium.
  • The favorite has won each of the last three MLS games between Houston and LA Galaxy at Shell Energy Stadium.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of LA Galaxy’s last six MLS away games.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of the last three MLS games between Houston and LA Galaxy.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of LA Galaxy’s last nine MLS games as an underdog against Houston.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Houston’s last four MLS home games against LA Galaxy.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Houston’s last eight MLS home games against LA Galaxy.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 30 of LA Galaxy’s last 39 MLS games as an underdog.

LA Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Their previous meeting earlier this season was a 1-1 draw in Los Angeles. Both teams are a perfectly balanced 4-4-5 in their last 13 overall meetings, and are 2-2-1 in their last five meetings in Houston. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

In this LA Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, Houston is coming as +100 home favorites. Houston is rightfully favored, as they have more points than LA Galaxy, but they have been struggling at home, having just four wins in 13 home games. Houston also has only two wins in their last 8 games, while the Galaxy have only one defeat in their last 5 games. With all of their meetings both overall and in Houston being balanced, I expect another close game, so I like the value with the LA Galaxy PK in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: LA Galaxy PK

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