Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction 07/16/2025 Picks

Chicago Fire will visit Atlanta United on Wednesday, July 16^th, 2025, at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in this Week 23 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United Prediction. We will examine:
Atlanta United recent form and player performance
Chicago Fire recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta United
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Chicago Fire
Recent betting trends in games played between the Chicago Fire and Atlanta United
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United game

Atlanta United Preview

Atlanta United has 19 points this season and are tied with DC United on the 12^th place of the Eastern Conference. Atlanta United has a 4-10-7 record this season and have a 4-3-3 home record. Atlanta United is coming off a 1-1 road draw against Toronto, and have just two wins in their last 15 games.

Atlanta United is averaging 1.10 goals per game, while allowing 1.81 goals per game. Emmanuel Latte Lath is the top scorer for Atlanta United this season with 5 total goals, while Saba Lobzhanidze is the team’s top passer, with 5 total assists.

Chicago Fire Preview

Chicago has 28 points this season and are sitting on the 10^th place of the Eastern Conference. Chicago has an 8-9-4 record this season and have a 6-5 road record. Chicago is coming off a 1-2 home defeat by San Diego, and are 1-5 in their last 6 games. Over is 11-2 in their last 13 games. 

Chicago is averaging 1.90 goals per game, while allowing 1.81 goals per game. Hugo Cuypers is the top scorer for Chicago this season with 10 total goals.

Why Atlanta United will win

Atlanta United FC has won each of its last seven MLS home games against Chicago.
Atlanta United FC has won each of its last eight MLS games as a favorite against Chicago.
The favorite has won each of the last six MLS games between Atlanta United FC and Chicago at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Chicago has lost four of its last five MLS games.

Why Chicago Fire will win

Chicago has won three of its last four MLS night games as an away underdog.
Atlanta United FC has lost three of its last four MLS games as a favorite following a draw.
The away team has won five of Chicago’s last seven MLS games.
The underdog has won four of Atlanta United FC’s last five MLS games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Total Points Facts

The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Chicago’s last 12 MLS away games.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 20 of Atlanta United FC’s last 25 MLS home games.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Chicago’s last 12 MLS away games.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Atlanta United FC’s last four MLS home games against Chicago.

Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United Prediction

In their previous meeting this season, Chicago Fire won 2-1 at home. Atlanta is 3-1-3 in their last 7 overall meetings against Chicago, and have won their last six home meetings against Chicago. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.
In this Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United Prediction, Atlanta is coming as +110 home favorites. The wrong team is favored in this matchup, as Atlanta has 9 less points than Chicago, and have been mediocre at home. Both teams are coming into this matchup in terrible form, and I’m not interested in backing either one. Both teams have terrible defenses this season, allowing 3.62 goals combined, and most of their recent meetings have been high-scoring ones. I expect another high-scoring affair so take the over 3.25 in this one.