Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction 9/14/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 14th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 83-65 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 4-1 and 5-3. In their game two win, New York scored the first four runs in the game and added an insurance run in the ninth to seal the win. The Yankees recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Chisholm Jr, who went 3-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. New York started Fried, who allowed nine hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Bednar got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Tigers, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. New York has won five of their last seven games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 770 runs with a .250 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 47 home runs and 101 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 28 home runs and 93 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 8-6 with a 4.22 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 147.0 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 81-68 this season after they lost game two by a score of 5-3 on Saturday afternoon. Boston scored three runs in a row and cut the deficit to just 4-3 in the eighth, but couldn’t get any closer. The Red Sox recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Wong, Duran, and Bregman, who all had one RBI in the loss. Boston started Bello, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Chapman allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Athletics, but lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks before that. Boston has split their last six games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 730 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu (IL) has led Boston with 22 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 24 home runs and 91 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 185.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Yankees 

The Red Sox have won eight of their last 10 games at Fenway Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Yankees have lost three of their last four games following a road win.
The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Red Sox’s last six games at Fenway Park.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against American League opponents following a road win.

Why the Yankees will beat the Red Sox 

The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
The Yankees have won three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents.
The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
The Red Sox have lost the first inning in each of their last three home games.
The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.
The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Red Sox’s last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Yankees’ last five games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Yankees’ last 13 night games at Fenway Park.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six games against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

Connor Wong has recorded two hits in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
Connor Wong has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last four night games.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction 

New York has picked up two huge wins to start this series and they will look to complete the sweep here. The Yankees are 39-34 on the road this year, while the Red Sox are 44-30 at home. Boston has lost three games in a row and they are starting Crochet, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. New York is going with Warren, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the under once again with these two pitchers on the mound.