White Sox vs Orioles Prediction 6/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a White Sox vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 29th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 43-39 this season after they won two out of three against the Royals by scores of 22-1, 2-1, and 4-5. In game three, Chicago took a 4-3 lead in the second inning, but failed to score in the last seven innings for the loss. The White Sox recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Vargas, who went 2-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Kay allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 3.2 innings for the loss, while Hicks threw 1.1 scoreless innings in relief. Prior to that series, Chicago won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost all three against the Tigers before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.25 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 392 runs with a .242 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Colson Montgomery has led the White Sox with 20 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Miguel Vargas has added 19 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Sean Burke, who is 5-4 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 87.1 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 39-46 this year after they lost two out of three against the Nationals by scores of 3-1, 3-4, and 4-6. In game three, Baltimore led 2-0 in the first inning, but they allowed the next six runs for the loss. The Orioles recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Alonso, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Bradish allowed one hit and three earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Wells allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Angels, but did win two out of three against the Dodgers before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 392 runs with a .239 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 19 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Shane Baz, who is 4-8 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 94.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won 15 of their last 16 games against the White Sox.
• The White Sox have lost each of their last seven games against the Orioles following a loss.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Orioles following a home loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home night games.
• The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against AL East opponents.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The White Sox have won each of their last six games following a home loss.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the White Sox’s last four road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the White Sox’s last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Shane Baz’s last four home appearances as a starter.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Shane Baz has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Shane Baz has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Sean Burke has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the White Sox as road underdogs.
• Miguel Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox’s last six games against AL opponents.
• Sean Burke has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the White Sox as road underdogs.
• Colson Montgomery has hit at least one home run in each of the White Sox’s last two games against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 25th in the league for hits allowed this season (739).
• The Orioles rank 24th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.255).
• The White Sox rank 6th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.416).
• The White Sox rank 25th in the league for strikeouts against this season (744).

White Sox vs Orioles Prediction

Baltimore comes into this matchup after they lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in three of those five. The Orioles are 23-21 at home this year, while the White Sox are 15-25 on the road. Chicago did win their last series with the Royals, but they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last five. The White Sox are starting Burke, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last five starts, while Baz has allowed 5, 3, 2, 1, and 2 earned runs in his last five outings. Baz ran into trouble last time out, but he has been solid over the last few weeks and Chicago has struggled on the road. Take the Orioles here.

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML