Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 7/12/24

The Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Washington Nationals recent form and player performance

The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Nationals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Nationals and Brewers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Nationals vs Brewers game

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

In their last series the Nationals played the New York Mets. Washington lost the first two installments of that set 7-5 and 6-2. On Thursday the Nationals posted a shutout loss 7-0. Starter MacKenzie Gore lasted 4.2 innings with four earned runs.

As starter for Friday the Nationals will send out Jackson Rutledge. This season Rutledge has a 9.00 ERA with one strikeout in his lone inning. In five career games (four starts) Rutledge is 1-1 with a 6.86 ERA.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Over on the Brewers’ side, they took on the Pittsburgh Pirates this week. Milwaukee fell in game one 12-2 then came back for a 9-0 win in game two. In the rubber match the Brewers would lose a tough one 1-0. Aaron Civale lasted 6.1 innings with one earned run as starter.

Starter for Friday will be Freddy Peralta. This year Peralta is 6-4 with a 3.95 ERA in 18 starts. In his career Peralta is 48-31 with a 3.85 ERA in 164 games (115 starts).

Nationals vs Brewers Pick Injury Notes

Brewers RP Devin Williams (back) will begin a rehab assignment with High-A Wisconsin Saturday.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Brewers’ last seven games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Nationals’ last 10 games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last three night games at American Family Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last three games against NL East opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in seven of his last 11 appearances against the Nationals.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded two or more total bases in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances at American Family Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• William Contreras has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 15 appearances at American Family Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two road games against the Brewers.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one total base in each of the Nationals’ last 14 games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Garcia has scored at least one run in each of his last six Friday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 14 games against opponents that held a winning record.

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Brewers here. Peralta didn’t pitch great in his last outing versus the Dodgers though, posting three earned on four hits and three walks in 4.0 innings during a no-decision. Prior to that however Peralta was 1-0 with three earned in 12.0 innings over two starts.

In their Thursday matchup against the Pirates, the Brewers couldn’t solve starter Paul Skenes (7.0 innings; 11 Ks; no hits) and only mustered two hits the whole afternoon. Milwaukee needs a return to form at the plate, but they should match up better with the Nationals. I think they’ll be okay.