Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/24/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 24th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 36-17 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 17-9 home record and are coming off a 0-2 home defeat against the Nationals. They will face the Red Sox and the Reds next.

The Braves have a .262 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .435 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.06 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Drake Baldwin is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 42, adding a team-high 14 home runs.

Martin Perez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 2-2 record, 2.85 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 26-27 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL East. They have a 16-11 away record and are coming off a 2-0 road win against the Braves. They will face the Guardians and the Padres next.

The Nationals have a .243 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .416 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.87 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 45. James Wood adds a team-high 13 home runs.

Foster Griffin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 5-2 record, 4.02 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: May 24, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Martin Perez      Record this season: 2-2      ERA: 2.85
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Nationals: 1-2

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last nine games following a home loss.
• The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 day games against the Braves following a road win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home day games.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Sunday games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Foster Griffin      Record this season: 5-2      ERA: 4.02
• Road Record: 3-1
• Last 5 against Braves: 1-0

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won each of their last seven Sunday day games as underdogs against the Braves.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday day games against the Braves.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Braves’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Nationals’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five home games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four day games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in five of the Braves’ last nine day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 15 games against the Nationals.
• Matt Olson ranks 8th in the league in Home Runs (14) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three games against the Braves.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (22) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (476).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (275).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (286).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (104).

Nationals vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Nationals and are 2-3 in their last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Nationals vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -165 home favorites. The Braves fell back down to earth yesterday as they got shut out by 0-2 and I don’t like them today as big favorites against Foster Griffin, who was excellent prior to his last two starts. Perez has also given up 6 runs in his last two starts for the Braves and in this clash between the two best offenses in baseball and Washington’s bullpen that ranks 25th, I will just go over the 8 runs.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 8