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Twins vs Tigers Prediction 06/28/2025 Picks
Pick details
Minnesota (40-42) vs Detroit (51-32)
June 28, 2025 at 01:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit -155 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 28th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 40-42 this year after they won game one by a score of 4-1 on Friday night. Minnesota scored the first four runs in the game and they were able to hold off a late Detroit rally for the win. The Twins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Lee, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the win. Minnesota started Festa, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Duran picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Twins split four games with the Mariners and lost all three against the Brewers. Minnesota has won three games in a row and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 351 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 18 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 12 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 4-5 with a 4.90 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 86.1 innings pitched this year.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 51-32 this season after they lost game one in this series on Friday night. Detroit struggled to string hits together all night, but they were able to score in the eighth inning to avoid the shutout. The Tigers recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Torres, who went 2-4 with one RBI in the loss. Detroit started Gipson-Long, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Hernandez allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Athletics, but lost two out of three against the Rays before that. Detroit has won three of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 411 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 17 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 17 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 7-2 with a 2.88 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 72.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tigers will beat the Twins
The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games against the Twins following a loss.
The Twins have lost each of their last four day games following a road win.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have covered the run line in five of their last six home games following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Twins’ last four road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Tigers’ last four day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Twins’ last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Tigers’ last seven day games against American League opponents.
Twins vs Tigers Prediction
Minnesota was able to get a very good pitching performance in game one of this series, which is something they have struggled with over the last few weeks. The Twins are 18-25 on the road this year, while the Tigers are 28-14 at home. Detroit is leading the AL Central standings, but they have taken a step back over the last few series. The Tigers are starting Mize, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The Twins are going with Ober, who has allowed 7, 4, 7, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts. I don’t trust Ober in this situation, so I will back the Tigers -1.5 here.