In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 17th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 36-35 this year after they were swept by Houston by scores of 3-10, 2-3, and 1-2. In their game three loss, Minnesota led 1-0 for almost all of the game, but they allowed a run in the bottom of the ninth and couldn’t score in extra innings for the loss. The Twins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Lee, who went 3-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Minnesota started Woods Richardson, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Duran blew the save and Sands got the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Blue Jays. Minnesota has lost eight of their last ten games and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 295 runs with a .242 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 11 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 10 home runs and 32 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is David Festa, who is 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 22.2 innings pitched this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 37-35 this season after they won two out of three against Detroit by scores of 5-11, 11-1, and 8-4. In their game three win, Cincinnati trailed 4-2 in the eighth inning, but they found some late offense and scored the last six runs in the game for the win. The Reds recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by De La Cruz, who went 3-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Miley, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Ashcraft got the win and Pagan picked up a hold. 

Prior to that series, the Reds won two out of three against the Guardians and all three against the Diamondbacks. Cincinnati has won seven of their last nine games and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 335 runs with a .248 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 16 home runs and 50 RBIs, while TJ Friedl has added eight home runs and 26 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 6-1 with a 1.87 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Reds will beat the Twins
The Twins have lost seven of their last eight night games after going to extra innings.
The Reds have won each of their last four home games against AL Central opponents.
The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Great American Ball Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games after going to extra innings.
The Reds have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games against the Twins.

Total Runs Facts
Each of the Reds’ last six home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Twins’ last six road games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Reds’ last nine night games against AL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven games as underdogs.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
Will Benson has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last four home games against AL Central opponents.
Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Elly De La Cruz has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Will Benson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four home games against AL Central opponents.
Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last four games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Willi Castro has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two road games against the Reds.
Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
Willi Castro has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
Willi Castro has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last nine games against NL opponents.

Twins vs Reds Prediction 
Cincinnati comes into this series after winning seven of their last nine games and they just won a series with a very good Tigers team. The Reds are 18-16 at home this year, while the Twins are 16-23 on the road. Minnesota has lost four games in a row and they have scored a total of nine runs in those four games. The Twins are starting Festa, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow eight earned runs two starts ago against the Athletics. The Reds are starting Abbott, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Cincinnati is playing very well right now and Abbott has been great, so I like the Reds at home. 

David Racey's Pick: Reds ML