Jul 1, 2025; Miami, Florida, USA;  Minnesota Twins third baseman Royce Lewis (23) strikes out in the eighth inning against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images

Twins vs Marlins Prediction 07/02/2025 Picks

Pick details

Minnesota (40-45) vs Miami (38-45)

July 2, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 2nd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 40-45 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-0 on Tuesday night. Minnesota couldn’t get anything going at the plate and they wasted a very good pitching performance in the loss. The Twins recorded just two hits in the game and they were led by Castro and Lewis, who each had one hit. Minnesota started Ryan, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Varland allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Tigers, but did win two out of three against the Mariners before that. Minnesota has lost eight of their last eleven games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 356 runs with a .239 batting average and a .310 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 19 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 12 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 3-4 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 58.1 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 38-45 this year after they won game one to start this series on Tuesday. Miami scored once in the second inning and they added an insurance run in the eighth to seal the win. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Fortes and Stowers, who both had one RBI in the win. Miami started Cabrera, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Henriquez picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins swept the Diamondbacks and swept the Giants, with both sweeps coming in three games. Miami has won eight games in a row and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.83 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 355 runs with a .254 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 14 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 12 home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 2-0 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 31.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Twins will beat the Marlins
The Marlins have lost each of their last eight Wednesday games at LoanDepot Park.
The Twins have won each of their last six Wednesday night games against teams that held a losing record.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games at LoanDepot Park following a home win.
The Twins have covered the run line each of their last six Wednesday night games against teams that held a losing record.
The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts
Ten of the Marlins’ last 12 games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Twins’ last three games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five night games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs.
Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as home underdogs.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Twins vs Marlins Prediction 
Miami comes into this matchup looking to extend their eight game winning streak and they are moving up in the NL East standings. The Marlins are 18-24 at home this year, while the Twins are 18-28 on the road. Minnesota has been shutout in back to back games and they are facing Junk, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three outings. Minnesota is starting Woods Richardson, who has allowed zero earned runs in two of his last three starts. I expect another lower scoring game here, but I like the Twins to bounce back with a badly needed win. 

David Racey's Pick: Twins ML

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