Apr 4, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees pitcher Ryan Weathers (40) delivers a pitch against the Miami Marlins during the second inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images
Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/18/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees
Team Records 21-25 28-19
Spread +1.5 -119 -1.5 -101
Moneyline +168 -205
Total Over 9 (-103) Under 9 (-117)
Where Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
When Monday, May 18, 2026
Time 07:05 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

The Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees will meet on Monday night in the opening game of a four‑game American League East series at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays enter Monday’s contest with a 21–25 overall record (3rd in the American League East) and a 8–14 mark on the road. The Blue Jays offense has been inconsistent to this point in the season. Let me be more specific. The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled 188 runs scored (24th in MLB), 70 doubles, a .242 team batting average and a rather low 42 home runs which ranks 21st in the Major League Baseball.

The Blue Jays arrive at tomorrow night’s game in good form. Toronto has won three of the team’s last four games played this season, including a 5–3 win over the Tampa Bay Rays earlier this week.

Toronto will turn to left hander Patrick Corbin in this contest. In seven starts made this season, Corbin has compiled a 1–1 win‑loss record, a 3.93 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP and 22 strikeouts, while allowing 38 hits and 10 walks in 34.1 innings pitched.

Turning our attention to the Toronto offense, the Blue Jays lineup features third baseman Ernie Clement and first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Ernie Clement leads the Blue Jays with a .282 batting average, 13 doubles, 6 walks, 12 RBIs and a .694 OPS. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has amassed a .286 batting average, 3 home runs, 7 doubles, 22 walks, 20 RBIs and a .754 OPS.  

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees enter Monday night’s matchup with a 28–19 overall record (2nd in the American League East) and a 14–6 mark at home. The Yankees have lost seven of the team’s last nine games played, including a 7–0 shutout loss to the Baltimore Orioles four days ago.

New York will start left hander Ryan Weathers, who has been one of the most effective hurlers in the Yankees starting pitching rotation. In eight starts made this season, Weathers has compiled a 2–2 record, a 3.00 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP and 54 strikeouts (23rd in MLB), while allowing 37 hits and 13 walks in 45 innings pitched.

The New York lineup features outfielder Aaron Judge and first baseman Ben Rice. Aaron Judge has tallied a .266 batting average, 16 home runs (3rd in MLB), 30 RBIs and a .999 OPS (4th in MLB). Ben Rice has compiled a .301 batting average (18th in MLB), 31 RBIs and a rather impressive 1.077 OPS which ranks first in Major League Baseball.    

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win.

• Offensive upside. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement lead the Toronto Blue Jays lineup.

• Current form. The Toronto Blue Jays have won three of the team’s last four games played this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win.

• Starting pitching edge. In eight starts made this season, Ryan Weathers has compiled a 2–2 record, a 3.00 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP and 54 strikeouts which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball.

• Offensive production. Aaron Judge and Ben Rice provide a strong core to the Yankees lineup.

• Home field advantage. The New York Yankees have amassed a 14–6 record at Yankee Stadium this season.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Prediction

In my opinion, this matchup favors the New York Yankees. New York starting pitcher Ryan Weathers enters tomorrow night’s contest with a 3.00 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP and 54 strikeouts, while Blue Jays hurler Patrick Corbin has allowed a whopping 38 hits and 10 walks in just 34.1 innings pitched this season. With that said, the Yankees are the clear side to be on in this one. I am backing the New York Yankees on the moneyline in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: New York Yankees ML

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