Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction 07/23/2025 Picks

The New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Wednesday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Max Fried for the start here and Fried is 11-3 with a 2.43 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Toronto, Fried is 3-0 with a 1.74 ERA and 20 strikeouts. Chris Bassitt will get the start for Toronto here and Bassitt is 10-4 with a 3.89 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Bassitt is 4-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 39 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their 5-4 win over the Blue Jays from Tuesday’s matchup to sit at 56-45 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Yankees Looking To Climb Closer To Blue Jays

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 128 hits including 36 home runs, 82 RBIs, 24 doubles and a .346 batting average along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 22 doubles with 10 stolen bases, 12 home runs and 53 RBIs while Jasson Dominguez has added 15 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 100 hits with 23 doubles and a .288 batting average while Volpe also has 94 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 65 hits with 17 doubles, 15 home runs and 32 RBIs while Cody Bellinger has 18 homers with 57 RBIs and Austin Wells has 14 home runs and 54 RBIs with Bellinger logging 20 doubles and Wells chipping in 15 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 17 home runs and 38 RBIs and Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 18 home runs and 48 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

The Yankees have won five of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four games against American League opponents.
The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Cody Bellinger has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games.
Max Fried has recorded five or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 15 appearances in night games.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Max Fried has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as road favorites.
Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (128) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Yankees on Tuesday to sit at 59-42 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will take on the Detroit Tigers on the road.

Blue Jays Have Home Winning Streak Snapped

George Springer has 89 hits and Bo Bichette has 116 hits with Springer adding 17 home runs, a triple, 17 doubles and 55 RBIs while Bichette has 29 doubles, 12 home runs
and 57 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 46 hits with 7 doubles and 5 home runs and 23 RBIs this season along with 10 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 13 homers, 19 doubles and 48 RBIs while Springer also has a .280 batting average and 72 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 22 doubles with 14 home runs and 44 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 20 doubles as part of his 93 hits this season.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

The Blue Jays have won each of their last nine games as underdogs.
The Yankees have lost each of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.
Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances after playing the previous day.
Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs.
Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Double in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games against AL opponents.
Bo Bichette ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (116) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays in this one. Max Fried’s been outstanding this season, but we’ve already seen the Blue Jays get to a lefty already in this series in Carlos Rodon, and while I’m not sure Bassitt is on Fried’s level, I think the Jays give Bassitt the support and I think the Jays back Bassitt up across the board to get another key win. Give me the Blue Jays.