Jun 29, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees designated hitter Aaron Judge (99) hits a two run home run during the fourth inning against the Athletics at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction 07/01/2025 Picks

Pick details

New York (48-36) vs Toronto (46-38)

July 1, 2025 at 03:07 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto +145 — Over/Under: +8

(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Tuesday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Max Fried for the start here and Fried is 10-2 with a 1.92 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fried is 3-0 with a 0.72 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Blue Jays. Kevin Gausman will get the start for the Blue Jays here and is 6-6 with a 4.21 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Gausman is 0-3 with a 11.50 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to rebound from their 5-4 loss at the hands of the Blue Jays in Monday’s series opener. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for an interleague series against the rival New York Mets.

Yankees Looking For Consistency

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 110 hits including 30 home runs, 67 RBIs, 19 doubles and a .354 batting average along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 21 doubles with 9 stolen bases, 9 home runs and 44 RBIs while Jasson Dominguez has added 13 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 83 hits with 15 doubles and a .282 batting average while Volpe also has 85 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 55 hits with 12 doubles, 14 home runs and 29 RBIs while Cody Bellinger has 12 homers with 43 RBIs and Austin Wells has 11 home runs and 45 RBIs with Bellinger logging 15 doubles and Wells chipping in 13 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 15 home runs and 32 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

The Yankees have won each of their last six day games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 10 day games against AL East opponents following a win.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games against AL East opponents following a home win.
The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays following a loss.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Max Fried has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (110) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to build on their win over the Yankees from Monday’s matchup to sit at 46-38 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will welcome the Los Angeles Angels to town.

Blue Jays Win 4 Of Their Last 5 Games

George Springer has 67 hits and Bo Bichette has 97 hits with Springer adding 11 home runs, a triple, 15 doubles and 40 RBIs while Bichette has 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 49 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 40 hits with 7 doubles and 4 home runs and 18 RBIs this season along with 10 stolen bases while Anthony Santander has 55 strikeouts so far this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 12 homers, 17 doubles and 44 RBIs while Springer also has a .263 batting average and 62 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 18 doubles with 9 home runs and 26 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 17 doubles as part of his 82 hits this season.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

The underdogs have won each of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as road favorites.
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
Daulton Varsho has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in day games.
Ernie Clement has recorded two or more hits in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games against AL opponents.
Ernie Clement ranks T10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.306) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the last seven games between the Yankees and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
Sixteen of the Yankees’ last 18 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Yankees here. I get the case to be made for the Jays as a home underdog, but the thing here is that the Jays have definitely cooled off in recent games when it comes to their form against left-handed pitching and Max Fried is one of the best lefties in the game. Kevin Gausman’s been getting hit hard as of late and I think that he could get tagged here as well against a Yankees team that’s had his number in the past. Give me New York in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York Yankees -170

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