Pick details
| MATCHUP | Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-17 | 14-18 |
| Spread | -1.5 142 | +1.5 -172 |
| Moneyline | -110 | -110 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-118) | Under 8.5 (-102) |
| Where | Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota | |
| When | Friday, May 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 14-17 on the year and play the Angels and Rays next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .248 on the season and have a .310 OBP, and a .376 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 40 hits and 15 RBI while Andres Gimenez and Ernie Clement have combined for 66 hits and 25 RBI.
Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 0-0 with a 3.72 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. Corbin is 2-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 14-18 on the year and play the Nationals and Guardians next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .232 on the season and have a .326 OBP, and a .380 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 31 hits and 11 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Josh Bell have combined for 51 hits and 31 RBI.
Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Woods Richardson is 0-1 with a 11.25 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have won five of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have covered the run line in five of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Twins have lost 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won seven of their last nine games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Twins’ last six games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in each of the Twins’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.354) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Twins rank 5th in the league for walks this season (134).
- The Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for walks this season (88).
- The Blue Jays rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (294).
Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Two teams that have had issues stringing wins together and two pitchers I want little to do with. It’s well documented that Corbin has been one of the worst starting pitchers over the last five years or so. I don’t care what his numbers look like; through 19.1 innings this season he’s been terrible overall. Through 30 innings, Woods Richardson has a 6.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. He’s walked 13 and has 15 strikeouts. No, thanks. I don’t have a side in this one. Instead, I’ll lean toward these pitchers stinking up the joint and grab the over.
