Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 6/10/24

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Milwaukee Brewers (38-27) vs Toronto Blue Jays (32-33)

Game Info: Monday, June 10, 2024 at 8:10 pm (American Family Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -115 / Toronto Blue Jays -105 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)


In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 10th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Blue Jays recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Brewers recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Milwaukee 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Toronto and Milwaukee

Blue Jays Continue to Hit Well 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 32-33 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Toronto is coming off of a series win against Oakland, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays split four games with the Orioles, won two out of three against the Pirates, and swept the White Sox in three games. Toronto is 9-4 in their last 13 games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 257 runs with a .233 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .292 with seven home runs and 30 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has scored at least five runs in eight of their last 14 games. 

Brewers are Back at Home 

The Milwaukee Brewers are 38-27 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Milwaukee is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Brewers were swept by the Phillies, swept the White Sox in three games, and won three out of four against the Cubs. Milwaukee is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are leading the NL Central by 6.5 games. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 323 runs with a .257 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .243 with nine home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee has allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last six games, but did allow 10 runs on Sunday to Detroit. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 5-4 with a 2.80 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 80.1 innings pitched this season. Berrios has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three consecutive outings. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Colin Rea, who is 4-2 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 63.2 innings pitched this year. Rea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, but did allow eight earned runs in the two starts prior to that. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

The Brewers have lost each of their last six Monday games as favorites.The Blue Jays have won eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a road win.The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games.The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the last four games between the Blue Jays and Brewers at American Family Field have gone OVER the total runs line.Five of the Blue Jays’ last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four night games.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last three night games against NL Central opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 

Milwaukee rolls into this series with a nice lead in the NL Central and they are 18-10 at home, but they were blown out against Detroit on Sunday. Toronto is just 32-33 on the season, but they have played better recently and their offense has really improved. The Blue Jays are starting Berrios, who has been lights out this season. The Brewers are going with Rea, who has been up and down, but has pitched well recently. The Brewers are the better team, but I like what Berrios has looked like this year. My Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction is for the Blue Jays to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML

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