Sep 10, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; Detroit Tigers left fielder Riley Greene (31) scores after hitting a two run home run during the eighth inning against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Tigers vs Yankees Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

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Detroit (84-62) vs New York (80-65)

September 11, 2025 at 07:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York — Over/Under:

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In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 11th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 84-62 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 12-2 and 11-1. In their game two win, Detroit scored the first eight runs in the game and picked up the blowout victory. The Tigers recorded 16 hits in the game and they were led by Greene and Torres, who both had three RBIs in the win. Detroit started Flaherty, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Holton and Melton picked up holds. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Mets. Detroit has won three of their last four games and they are first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 718 runs with a .251 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 33 home runs and 107 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 28 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is TBD. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 80-65 this season after they lost game two by a score of 11-1 on Wednesday night. New York didn’t generate enough base runners in the early innings and only managed to score a run in the eighth in the loss. The Yankees recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Wells, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. New York started Rodon, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Weaver and Doval each allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees won two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Astros. New York has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 752 runs with a .248 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 44 home runs and 98 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 28 home runs and 89 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 2-3 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 50.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Yankees

The Tigers have won six of their last seven games against the Yankees.
The Yankees have lost four of their last five night games against American League opponents.
The Tigers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Yankees.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games at Yankee Stadium against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Tigers’ last seven road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the last six games between the Tigers and Yankees at Yankee Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Tigers’ last five games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last eight games between the Tigers and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Parker Meadows has hit a home run in two of the Tigers’ last three road games against AL East opponents.
Jake Rogers has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.

Tigers vs Yankees Prediction 

Detroit has blown out New York in the first two games of this series and they will try to secure the series sweep here. The Tigers are 38-33 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 43-31 at home. New York is trying to chase down Toronto in the East and they are starting Schlittler, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five stars. Detroit is coasting in the Central and they are expected to go with a bullpen game here. I know New York is the better lineup, but their pitching staff has been awful in this series and Detroit is hitting the ball well. Take the Tigers once again here.

David Racey's Pick: Tigers ML

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