Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction 4/18/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 18th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 10-10 this year after they lost game one by a score of 1-0 in extra innings on Friday. Detroit continued their road struggles in this game and couldn’t find any offense in the shutout loss. The Tigers recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Jones, who went 2-4. Mize allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Vest picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Detroit swept the Royals in three games and swept the Marlins in three games. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.46 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 84 runs with a .239 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with four home runs and 14 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added one home run and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 2-2 with a 2.22 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 24.1 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 8-11 this season after they won game one by a score of 1-0 last night. Boston also struggled to find offense in this one, but they manufactured a run in the 10th for the walk-off win. The Red Sox recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Yoshida, who went 1-1 with one RBI. Suarez allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings, while Whitlock picked up the win. Prior to this series, Boston lost two out of three against the Twins, but did win two out of three against the Cardinals before that. 

This season, Boston has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 78 runs with a .233 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Wilson Contreras has led the Red Sox with three home runs and 11 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added two home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 1-1 with a 6.14 ERA and a 1.91 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The home team has won 17 of the Tigers’ last 18 games.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Tigers and Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against the Tigers at Fenway Park.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won 10 of their last 11 day games after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against the Tigers following a win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six day games after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Tigers and Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Tigers’ last five games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine road games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four day games at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Story has hit a home run in nine of his last 26 appearances in day games.
• Roman Anthony has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous Saturday day appearances.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in five of the Tigers’ last six Saturday day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL opponents.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games.

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup after a dramatic win on Friday night and they will look for their third straight win. The Red Sox are 4-3 at home this year, while the Tigers are 2-9 on the road. Detroit has been very good at home this year, but they are really struggling on the road. The Tigers have lost nine straight road games, but they are starting Skubal, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his four starts. Boston is going with Bello, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 19 hits over 14.2 innings. Detroit has the pitching advantage, but we can’t back them on the road. Take the Red Sox here.

David Racey's Pick: Red Sox ML