Jul 2, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Nationals right fielder Alex Call (17) sprints around third base against the Detroit Tigers during the eighth inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images

Tigers vs Nationals Prediction 07/03/2025 Picks

Pick details

Detroit (54-33) vs Washington (36-50)

July 3, 2025 at 06:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington +1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 3rd at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 54-33 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 11-2 and 4-9. In their game two loss, Detroit led 4-3 in the later innings, but they allowed six runs in the eighth for the loss. The Tigers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Jones, who went 2-3 with two RBIs in the loss. Detroit started Flaherty, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Kahnle blew the save and picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Athletics. Detroit has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 439 runs with a .257 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 21 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 18 home runs and 52 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Dietrich Enns, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.60 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 36-50 this season after they won game two of Wednesday’s doubleheader by a score of 9-4. Washington led 3-0 in the game, but they needed a huge eighth inning to escape with the win. The Nationals recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Lowe, who went 2-4 with four RBIs in the win. Washington started Gore, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Henry picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Angels, but lost two out of three against the Padres before that. Washington has alternated wins and losses over their last six games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.07 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 377 runs with a .245 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 22 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 13 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 6-3 with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 99.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Tigers
The Tigers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents following a road loss.
The Nationals have won each of their last six Thursday night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Nationals have covered the run line each of their last six Thursday night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games.

Why the Tigers will beat the Nationals
The Tigers have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
The Nationals have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs following a win.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games at Nationals Park.
The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
The Tigers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.
The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts
Each of the Nationals’ last six home games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Tigers’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine games at Nationals Park.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Nationals’ last 12 night games against AL Central opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven night games.
Josh Bell has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.
Colt Keith has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last three road games against NL opponents.

Tigers vs Nationals Prediction 
These two teams split the doubleheader on Wednesday to open this series, so they will be looking for the series win here. Detroit is 24-19 on the road this year, while Washington is just 17-25 at home. The Nationals have been involved in some very high scoring games recently and they are starting Irvin, who has allowed 8, 2, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last four starts. Detroit is going with Enns, who was very good in his first start, but he is more of an unknown coming into this one. Take the over once again in this contest. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 9.5

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