Tigers vs Marlins Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 13th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 84-64 this year after they lost game one by a score of 8-2 on Friday. Detroit cut the deficit to 3-1 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the next five runs to seal the loss. The Tigers recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Greene, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Detroit started Skubal, who left with an injury, while Paddack allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Yankees, but lost two out of three against the White Sox before that. Detroit has lost three of their last five games, but they are still first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 723 runs with a .250 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 34 home runs and 108 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 28 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Charlie Morton, who is 9-10 with a 5.59 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 135.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 69-79 this season after they won game one by a score of 8-2 on Friday night. Miami led 3-0 after the second inning and never looked back in the blowout victory. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Wiemer and Sanoja, who both had three RBIs in the win. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Gibson and Soriano closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins split four games with the Nationals and lost two out of three against the Phillies. Miami has won three games in a row and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 649 runs with a .250 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers (IL) has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 20 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 6-3 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 92.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Tigers

The Tigers have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against National League opponents.
The underdogs have won four of the Tigers’ last five games.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Tigers.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
The Tigers have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against AL Central opponents.

Why the Tigers will beat the Marlins

The Tigers have won six of their last seven day games following a loss.
The Marlins have lost three of their last four day games after playing the previous day.
The road team has covered the run line in eight of the last 10 games between the Tigers and Marlins.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Tigers’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the last six games between the Tigers and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games against AL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Joey Wiemer has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Tigers.
Joey Wiemer has recorded a hit in seven of his last eight appearances at LoanDepot Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Saturday appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
Charlie Morton has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Tigers vs Marlins Prediction 

Detroit is trying to build some momentum heading into the postseason, but they have allowed 17 runs in their last two games and just lost Skubal to injury. The Tigers are 38-35 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 35-41 at home. Miami has scored 21 runs in their last three games and they are facing Morton, who has allowed 3, 6, and 5 earned runs in his last three starts. Detroit is going against Junk, who has allowed at least three earned runs in five straight outings. Both of these starters are below average in my opinion and Miami has been an over machine lately. Take the over here.