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Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 06/28/2025 Picks
Pick details
Seattle (42-39) vs Texas (40-42)
June 28, 2025 at 04:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas +120 / Seattle -140 — Over/Under: +8
The Seattle Mariners are visiting the Texas Rangers on Saturday, June 28th at the Globe Life Field in the second game of this series, with the Mariners having the 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction. We will examine:
The Texas Rangers recent form and player performance
The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Rangers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends in games played between the Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers game
Texas Rangers Preview
The Texas Rangers have a 40-42 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 23-17 home record and 28-52 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-6 road victory over the Rangers, and have three consecutive wins. They are playing the Orioles and the Padres next.
The Rangers have a .227 batting average this season, .294 OBP and .365 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 68 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .279 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 42.
Kumar Rocker (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 3-4 record, 6.68 ERA and 1.66 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 42-39 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 22-20 road record and 45-32 in over/under They are coming off a 7-6 road victory over the Rangers, which snapped their previous two-game losing streak. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 games and they are playing the Royals and the Pirates next.
The Mariners have a .247 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .404 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 84, while Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 69, and in home runs with 32. J.P. Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average.
Bryan Woo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 7-4 record, 3.12 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
The Rangers have won each of their last seven Saturday day home games against American League opponents.
The Mariners have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against AL West opponents.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against AL West opponents.
The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Rangers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine day games.
The Rangers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
The Rangers have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs following an extra innings loss.
The favorites have won each of the Mariners’ last seven games.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following an extra innings loss.
The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six day games after going to extra innings.
The Mariners have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against the Rangers.
The Mariners have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Mariners’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Rangers’ last seven home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games as favorites against AL West opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four home games.
Matchup/League Facts
The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.26).
The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (284).
The Mariners rank T28th in the league for triples this season (4).
The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction
The Mariners are 6-1 in their 7 meetings against the Rangers this season, and 9-2 in their last 11 overall meetings. The Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 visits in Texas, and over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -150 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical records, and similar home/away splits. The Mariners have the huge pitching advantage, as Woo for the Mariners have only given up one run in 13.1 innings pitched in his two starts against the Rangers this season. Kumar Rocker has given up 3+ runs in four of his last five starts for the Rangers, so I like the Mariners to be winning in the first 5 innings of this game.