Jun 11, 2025; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates center fielder Oneil Cruz  plays a ball off the wall against the Texas Rangers at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Philip G. Pavely-Imagn Images

Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 06/21/2025 Picks

Pick details

Texas (37-39) vs Pittsburgh (30-47)

June 21, 2025 at 04:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Texas Rangers and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 37-39 on the year and play the Orioles, Mariners, and Orioles next. The Texas Rangers are batting .230 on the season, have a .295 OBP, and a .373 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers pitching staff has a 3.18 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Texas Rangers with 64 hits and 20 RBI, while Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia have combined for 121 hits and 68 RBI. 

Kumar Rocker gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 2-4 with a 7.31 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. This will be Rocker’s second career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 30-47 on the year and play the Brewers, Mets, and Cardinals next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .225 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and a .335 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Andrew McCutchen leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 62 hits and 28 RBI while Bryan Reynolds and Isiah Kiner-Falefa have combined for 122 hits and 56 RBI.

Mitch Keller gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 1-9 with a 4.08 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. This will be Keller’s second career game against the Texas Rangers.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Pirates have won each of their last six games at PNC Park following a home loss.
The Rangers have lost eight of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Rangers following a loss.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 12 day games against AL West opponents.
The Rangers have won seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games at PNC Park against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games at PNC Park against American League opponents.
The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 day games against AL West opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of the Pirates’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Adam Frazier has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Pirates’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Ke’Bryan Hayes has scored a run in each of his last four appearances at PNC Park.
Mitch Keller has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 home appearances after playing the previous day.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

Adolis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Rangers’ last two road games.
Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in seven of the Rangers’ last eight road games.
Josh Jung has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rangers’ last four road games against the Pirates.
Marcus Semien has recorded a Double in each of the Rangers’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Rangers should be favored to win for obvious reasons, but I’m rolling with the over. Rocker has been a mess with his 7.31 ERA, and he’s allowed 10 hits and five runs in his last 8.1 innings. In 11.1 road innings, Rocker has a 15.09 ERA and .439 allowed batting average. Keller has a 4.08 ERA that’s starting to climb, as he’s allowed 19 hits and 11 runs in his last 18.1 innings. In 51.1 home innings, Keller has a 4.73 ERA and .286 allowed batting average. There should be runs scored in this game. Give me the over.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Over 8.5

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