Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 13th at the Citi Field the opening game of this series, with the Rangers having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 76-72 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL East. The Mets have a 45-28 home record and are 70-70 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-8 home defeat by the Rangers, and have seven consecutive losses. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games and are playing the Padres and the Nationals next.

The Mets have a .249 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .426 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.  Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 155 hits, while Pete Alonso leads the team in batting average with .265. He also adds a team-high 114 RBI, while Juan Soto adds team-high 39 home runs.

Brandon Sproat (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-1 record, 4.50 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 78-70 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 31-42 road record and are 66-79 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-3 road victory over the Mets, and are 6-1 in their last 7 games. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games and are playing the Astros and the Marlins next.

The Rangers have a .237 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .387 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 119 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .256 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 73, while Corey Seager adds a team-high 21 home runs.

Patrick Corbin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 7-9 record, 4.36 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.

Texas Rangers @ New York Mets Betting Trends: September 13, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 4.50
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Rangers: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The home team has won six of the Mets’ last seven games.
• The Rangers have lost six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against the Rangers.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against the Rangers.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games at Citi Field against AL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin      Record this season: 7-9      ERA: 4.36
• Road Record: 4-5
• Last 5 against Mets: 2-3

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last six games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last seven games.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have won the first inning in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rangers’ last nine day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 10 day games against AL West opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Starling Marte has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Rangers.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against the Rangers.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites.
• Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (135).
• The Mets rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (517).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.43).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (542).

Rangers vs Mets Prediction

The Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings against the Rangers, but the Rangers are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in New York. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.

In this Rangers vs Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -160 home favorites. Sproat did not look good in his first start of the season and now has to face a red-hot Rangers team, while the Mets have been on a free fall lately. I never rush to the window to back Corbin, but he has two quality starts in his last three starts, and the Rangers have a better bullpen, while the Mets are weaker against left-handed pitching. I like the odds with the road dog in this one, so take the Texas Rangers for plus money in this one.