Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction 6/15/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 15, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays (38-32, 15-12 Away) went six straight series without a loss, but lost the latest one to the Boston Red Sox. The Rays opened this series against the Mets with a 7-5 win and clinched the series with an 8-4 victory on Saturday. Yandy Diaz and Taylor Walls led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Drew Rasmussen got the win after allowing four runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and one walk across 5.0 innings of work. 

This year, the Rays average 4.51 runs per game (11th in the MLB) on a .248/.314/.393 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.50 ERA (7th) and 1.17 WHIP (3rd). Junior Caminero leads the Rays with a .245 batting average, 16 home runs, and 42 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Rays is Shane Baz, who is 5-3 in 13 starts this season, with a 4.97 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 70.2 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (45-26, 27-9 Home) suffered their first defeat in seven series. During a six-series unbeaten stretch, the Mets defeated the Dodgers, swept the Rockies twice, and swept the Nationals in the previous series. The Mets lost 7-5 to the Rays in Game 1 of this series and then 8-4 on Saturday. Brandon Nimmo led the team with two RBI, while Tylor Megill took the loss after allowing six runs (three earned) on seven hits with five strikeouts and two walks in 3.2 innings. 

This season, the Mets’ average 4.62 runs per game (7th in the MLB) on a .249/.332/.425 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.88 ERA (1st) and 1.24 WHIP (15th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .297 batting average, 17 home runs, and 63 RBI this season.

Griffin Canning will take the mound for the Mets on Sunday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 6-2 record in 13 starts this year with a 3.22 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 64.1 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last four games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rays’ last six games as underdogs against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Rays and Mets at Citi Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight road games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (239).
• The Mets rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (261).
• The Rays rank 27th in the league for home runs allowed this season (92).
• The Rays rank T26th in the league for triples this season (4).

Rays vs Mets Prediction

The Rays won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last five. It’s going to be hard to sweep the Mets in New York, as the hosts will be fighting to avoid their first sweep of teh season. Therefore, I am going to avoid betting on the winner and opt for Over instead. Shane Baz allowed 3+ runs in seven of his previous eight starts, including the last three. Griffin Canning, on the other hand, surrendered multiple runs in four of his previous five starts. He allowed a .312 BA in 32 at-bats against the Rays. Back the Over. 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 7.5