Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 07/05/2025 Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Minnesota Twins meet Saturday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Taj Bradley for the start here and Bradley is 5-6 with a 4.79 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bradley is 0-2 with a 4.38 ERA and 26 strikeouts against Minnesota. The Minnesota Twins did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to rebound from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Twins in Friday’s matchup to sit at 48-40 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for another division series against the Detroit Tigers.

Rays Drop Four Of Their Last Five Games

Jonathan Aranda has 89 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 45 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 85 hits with 19 homers and 50 RBIs as well while Junior Caminero has 84 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 21 home runs and 54 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 96 hits with 17 doubles, 14 homers and 50 RBIs and Kameron Misner has 42 hits with 9 doubles, 5 homers and 22 RBIs as well while Christopher Morel has 62 strikeouts while Lowe has 83 strikeouts and Misner has 69 K’s as well this season. Jose Caballero has 30 stolen bases while Taylor Walls has 10 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

The Rays have won each of their last eight day games following a loss.
The Twins have lost seven of their last eight day games following a win.
The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games following a road loss.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two games as road favorites.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Rays from Friday’s series opener to sit at 42-46 on the year. After this series, the Twins will take on the Chicago Cubs in an interleague series at home.

Twins Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Byron Buxton has 74 hits along with 11 doubles, a team-high 19 home runs and 52 RBIs with 15 stolen bases and 3 triples while Carlos Correa has 71 hits with 14 doubles and Willi Castro has 61 hits with 13 doubles as well. Harrison Bader’s added 9 home runs and 29 RBIs while Buxton’s contributed a team-high 82 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 79 hits, 15 doubles, 6 home runs and 42 RBIs and Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 77 hits with 13 doubles, 12 home runs and 39 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Twins have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
The Rays have lost seven of their last eight Saturday day games as road favorites against American League opponents.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rays’ last six games at Target Field.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Harrison Bader has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.
Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.
Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

Ten of the Rays’ last 11 road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Twins’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m backing the Rays here. I’m not rushing to the window to bet this game, but I still just feel like the Twins are too streaky of a team to back right now and even though they picked up the win on Friday, I still think the Rays are the better team right now. I’m not the biggest fan of Taj Bradley but I think he’s serviceable enough in this start to get the job done here. Give me the Rays in this one.