Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 07/10/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 10, at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays (50-43, 22-18 Away) lost four consecutive series after losing to the Baltimore Orioles, Athletics, Minnesota Twins, and Detroit Tigers. The Rays were facing a sweep at the hands of the Tigers but won Game 3 on Wednesday, 7-3. Seven different players chipped in a run apiece, while Zack Littell got the win after allowing three runs on six hits with four strikeouts and two walks across 5.2 innings of work.

This season, the Rays average 4.74 runs per game (7th in the MLB) on a .260/.323/.411 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.78 ERA (11th) and 1.20 WHIP (5th). Junior Caminero leads the Rays with a .254 batting average, 22 home runs, and 58 RBI this season.

Taj Bradley will take the mound for the Rays on Thursday. The 24-year-old right-hander has a 5-6 record in 18 starts this year with a 4.79 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 97.2 innings.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox (49-45, 28-20 Home) recorded back-to-back sweeps for the first time this season after sweeping the Washington Nationals and Colorado Rockies, scoring 10+ runs in four of six games along the way. In last night’s 10-2 victory, Jarren Duran led the offense with three RBI, while Lucas Giolito got the win after allowing no runs on four hits with six strikeouts and no walks in 6.0 innings.

This year, the Red Sox average 5.07 runs per game (5th in the MLB) on a .257/.327/.436 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 3.90 ERA (16th) and 1.31WHIP (21st). Trevor Story leads the Red Sox with a .251 batting average, 15 home runs, and 57 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox is Walker Buehler, who is 6-6 in 15 starts this season, with a 6.25 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 72.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Red Sox’s last six games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Rays’ last four night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rays’ last six games against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (856).
The Red Sox are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Rays rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (819).
The Rays rank 27th in the league for home runs allowed this season (125).

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction

The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the Red Sox lead the series 4-2. Three of those six went Over, and I am going with Over in this one as well. Taj Bradley hasn’t played well in June, registering a 5.72 ERA, and has been in a hot and cold form on the mound, allowing 21 runs in his last six starts. Walker Buehler, on the other hand, is experiencing the worst season of his career. He is coming from an 11.07 ERA in June, and he allowed multiple runs in eight consecutive starts. Expect to see a lot of runs early on, on each side. Go with Over.