St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 9/1/24

Pick details

New York Yankees (79-56) vs St. Louis Cardinals (67-68)

September 1, 2024 at 01:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -213 / St. Louis Cardinals +177 — Over/Under: 9

(Get latest betting odds)

The St. Louis Cardinals and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Cardinals vs Yankees pick. We will examine:

The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance

The New York Yankees recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends in games played between the Cardinals and Yankees

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cardinals vs Yankees game

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

In their last series the Cardinals played the San Diego Padres. St. Louis managed a 2-2 tie in that four-game set. After a 6-3 loss to the Yankees Friday, on Saturday the Cards eked out a 6-5 win. Kyle Gibson gave up one earned in 7.0 innings as starter.

Starter for the finale will be St. Louis’ Miles Mikolas. So far Mikolas is 8-10 with a 5.23 ERA in 27 starts. Over 205 career games (177 starts) Mikolas is 62-63 with a 4.11 ERA.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they lost two of three to the Washington Nationals in their last series. After their Friday win versus the Cardinals, on Saturday New York fell behind 6-1 by the sixth inning and couldn’t dig out. Will Warren posted 4.0 innings with four earned runs in the starting role.

Nestor Cortes will take the mound for the Yankees on Sunday. This year Cortes is 8-10 with a 3.89 ERA in 27 starts. Cortes is 32-21 with a 3.84 ERA in 131 career games (83 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Cardinals’ last five games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 16 home appearances.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one total base in 17 of his last 18 appearances at Yankee Stadium.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five Sunday appearances in day games.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Juan Soto has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Cardinals.
  • Jazz Chisholm has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 home appearances.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cardinals’ last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
  • Nolan Arenado has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Miles Mikolas has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last 15 road appearances.
  • Brendan Donovan has hit a home run in two of the Cardinals’ last three games against the Yankees.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Prediction

I’m going to lean toward the Yankees. The line’s too thick to mess with, though. Cortes is on a solid stretch these days. In his last three starts combined, Cortes is 3-0 with just one earned run in 20.2 innings of work. As for Mikolas, he’s been spotty lately with nine earned over his last three starts in 17.1 total frames.

On Saturday New York got a rough start from Warren but most of the trouble occurred in the third inning. Offensively the team wasn’t bad on 12 team hits, but the Yankees couldn’t cash in on many opportunities outside of the eighth. New York should be in good shape Sunday but I’m not touching this one.

Andrew Jett's Pick: New York Yankees -213

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