Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 6/25/24

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Tampa Bay Rays (38-40) vs Seattle Mariners (45-35)

June 25, 2024 at 06:50 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays +117 / Seattle Mariners -137 — Over/Under: 7.5

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The Seattle Mariners and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Monday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out Luis Castillo for the start here and Castillo is 6-8 with a 3.63 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. In his career, Castillo is 1-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 22 strikeouts against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Tampa Bay Rays will trot out Zack Littell for the start here and Littell is 2-5 with a 4.20 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. This will be Littell’s second career start against the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this one looking to bounce back from a 4-3 loss in Monday’s series opener against the Rays. The loss was not what the doctor ordered for Seattle, who is trying to bounce back from back-to-back series losses to the Marlins and Guardians over the last week.

Mariners Trying To Find Their Footing

Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 81 hits including a .257 batting average and also has 6 doubles. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 13 home runs along with 46 RBIs and 90 strikeouts. Mitch Haniger also has 6 home runs and 30 RBIs while Rodriguez has a team-high 16 stolen bases and 91 strikeouts as well this season. Dylan Moore has a team-high 14 doubles and Mitch Garver has 12 doubles also this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Rays have lost each of their last six night games against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Mariners have won seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games against AL West opponents.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the Rays’ last eight games.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game hoping to keep the ball rolling after opening the set with their victory over the Mariners on Monday. The win got the Rays off on the right foot after back-to-back series wins over the Pirates and Twins over the last week.

Rays Trying To Keep Ball Rolling

Isaac Paredes has 75 hits, 11 home runs, 39 RBIs and a .277 batting average as well as a .363 OBP with 15 doubles. Yandy Diaz has 86 hits with 15 doubles while Jose Caballero has a team-high 24 stolen bases. Randy Arozarena has 10 home runs and 27 RBIs along with 82 strikeouts and 10 stolen bases.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as road favorites.
  • The Rays have won four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last three Tuesday games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

I’m on the Rays here. I’m a Luis Castillo fan, but there’s no denying that he hasn’t looked as sharp for a lot of this season, especially when you look at his road numbers, including recent road outings, where he’s been roughed up in back-to-back starts away from Seattle. The Rays are heating up, and are seeing the ball a lot better than the Mariners right now. I’m also not trusting this Mariners bullpen after they let one get away in Monday’s matchup. Give me Tampa Bay here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tampa Bay +118

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