Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 07/04/2025 Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Seattle Mariners meet Friday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. The Seattle Mariners will send out Bryan Woo for the start here and Woo is 7-4 with a 2.93 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. This will be Woo’s first career start against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to build on their 5-0 win over the Cardinals last time out to sit at 38-50 on the year. After this series, the Pirates will square off against the Kansas City Royals on the road.

Pirates Win Six In A Row

Bryan Reynolds has 76 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 45 RBIs while also posting 90 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 15 home runs and 35 RBIs with 28 stolen bases while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 69 hits with 10 doubles and 10 stolen bases. Cruz also has a team-high 110 strikeouts as well this season. Tommy Pham has 6 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 73 hits with 14 doubles and KeBryan Hayes has 73 hits with 29 RBIs and 9 stolen bases.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Pirates have won each of their last six games.
The Mariners have lost each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against AL West opponents.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four road games against AL opponents.
Tommy Pham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two road games against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to rebound from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Kansas City Royals to sit at 45-42 on the year. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a series against the New York Yankees.

Mariners Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Jorge Polanco has 60 hits including 12 home runs and 39 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 85 hits with 16 doubles, a team-high 33 home runs and 71 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 78 hits with 20 doubles, 12 home runs, 40 RBIs and 15 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 90 hits with 12 doubles, 3 triples, 11 home runs, 43 RBIs and 14 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 8 homers and 9 stolen bases as well this season. Rowdy Tellez has also added 11 home runs and 27 RBIs while J.P Crawford has 88 hits with 11 doubles, 6 home runs and 31 RBIs.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

The home team has won each of the Pirates’ last eight games.
The Pirates have lost each of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents following a loss.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one Double in each of the Mariners’ last five games against NL Central opponents.
Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last five games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Mariners’ last seven day games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Pirates’ last seven games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. These are two teams that have strong pitching staffs, as the Pirates just shut out the Cardinals in a three-game series, while the Mariners have one of their best pitchers going here in Bryan Woo and I think that Woo has a strong enough showing here to be able to keep the Mariners competitive in what I think ends up being a bit of a pitcher’s duel at the end of the day here. Give me the under here.