Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction 07/10/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 10, at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners (48-44, 23-23 Away) spent the previous two series at home, where they split with the Kansas City Royals and swept the Pittsburgh Pirates without allowing a single run in three games. The Mariners will lose the current series against the New York Yankees, after falling in the first two games, 10-3 and 9-6.. Last night, Randy Arozarena and Cole Young led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Logan Evans took the loss after allowing six runs on nine hits with two strikeouts and two walks in 4.2 innings.

This year, the Mariners average 4.47 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .247/.322/.408 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.89 ERA (15th) and 1.26 WHIP (16th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .265 batting average, 36 home runs, and 76 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Mariners is Bryan Woo, who is 8-4 in 17 starts this season, with a 2.77 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 107.1 innings.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (51-41, 28-17 Home) were on a six-game losing skid after being swept at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays and beaten by the New York Mets in two of three games. The Yankees avoided getting swept by the Mets thanks to the win in Game 3, and then opened this series against Seattle with a pair of wins. In Wednesday’s 9-6 victory, Jazz Chisholm Jr. led the offense with two homers and four RBI, while Cam Schlittler got the win in his MLB debut after allowing three runs on four hits with seven strikeouts and two walks in 5.1 innings.

This season, the Yankees average 5.23 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .257/.338/.457 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.85 ERA (14th) and 1.21 WHIP (7th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .360 batting average, 34 home runs, and 77 RBI this season.

Marcus Stroman will take the mound for the Yankees on Thursday. The 34-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in five starts this year with a 7.45 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 19.1 innings.

Why the Mariners will beat the Yankees

The Mariners have won each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
The Yankees have lost four of their last five night games following a home win.
The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Mariners and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Yankees’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Mariners’ last four games as favorites against the Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last four games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Yankees’ last five home games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).
The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (363).
The Mariners rank 26th in the league for doubles this season (129).
The Mariners rank 6th in the league for home runs this season (124).

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last three, while this season, New York leads 4-1. I am backing the Mariners in this one because of the pitching matchup. Bryan Woo has been sensational this season, and he deservedly earned his first All-Star nod. Woo has four straight quality starts, in which he allowed just two runs and registered three shutouts. The last time he faced the Yanks, Woo kept them off the scoreboard for 6.1 innings. Marcus Stroman, on the other hand, struggled with injuries this season and has been inconsistent on the mound, which is a chance for the M’s to get to him early on. Go with Seattle.