Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 07/02/2025 Picks

The Kansas City Royals are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday, July 2^nd at the T-Mobile Park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. We will examine:
The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance
The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals
Recent betting trends in games played between the Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners game

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 44-41 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 21-20 home record and 48-33 in over/under They are coming off a 3-6 home defeat by the Royals, which snapped their two-game winning streak. Over is 10-2 in their last 12 games and they are playing the Yankees and the Pirates next.

The Mariners have a .248 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .404 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 89, while Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 71, and in home runs with 33. J.P. Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .279 batting average.

Logan Gilbert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 2-2 record, 3.55 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 40-46 record this season and are sitting on the 4^th place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 20-22 road record and are 34-51 in over/under. They are coming off 6-3 road victory over the Mariners, and are 2-8 in their last 10 games. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 games and are playing the Diamondbacks and the Pirates next.

The Royals have a .244 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .366 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 97 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team both in RBI, with 47, and in home runs, with 12.

Noah Cameron (L) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has a 2-4 record, 2.79 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

The Royals have lost nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have won each of their last four home games against the Royals following a loss.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against American League opponents following a win.
The Mariners have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Royals following a loss.
The Mariners have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against the Royals at T-Mobile Park.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Royals and Mariners.
The Mariners have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents following a home loss.
The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday road games.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday night games against AL Central opponents.
The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last six road night games.
The Royals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents.
The Royals have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Mariners’ last nine games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Royals’ last four games as underdogs against the Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Royals’ last seven games at T-Mobile Park.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mariners’ last seven games against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mariners rank T28th in the league for triples this season (4).
The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Royals rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (285).
The Royals rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (58).

Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Mariners are 8-4 in their last 12 overall meetings against the Royals, and are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Seattle. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 meetings.   
In this Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -180 home favorites. The Mariners have a better overall record, but both teams have almost identical home/away splits. Both pitchers in this matchup have been excellent this season, with a combined 6.34 ERA, and their home/away splits are even better, as Gilbert as a 2.35 home ERA and Cameron a 1.11 road ERA. Both teams have top-8 bullpens, and the Mariners struggle to hit lefties this season. Take the under 7 runs in this one.