San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Prediction 07/26/2025 Picks

The New York Mets and the San Francisco Giants meet Saturday in MLB action from Oracle Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will start David Peterson here and Peterson is 6-4 with a 2.90 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. In his career, Peterson is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts against the Giants. The San Francisco Giants will trot out Robbie Ray here and Ray is 9-4 with a 2.92 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Ray is 4-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 29 strikeouts.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on their 8-1 win over the San Francisco Giants last time out to improve to 60-44 on the year. After this game, the Mets will head on the road again for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Mets Win Five In A Row

Pete Alonso has 104 hits with 26 doubles, 22 home runs, 80 RBIs and a .272 batting average while Juan Soto has 91 hits with 15 doubles, 24 home runs and 59 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 101 hits with 16 stolen bases along with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 57 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs and 25 RBIs, but also has 66 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 97 hits with 18 doubles and 19 home runs and 57 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 10 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 12 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Mets and Giants.
• The Giants have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games against NL West opponents.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last three road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.

San Francisco Giants Recap

The San Francisco Giants come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Mets on Friday to sit at 54-50 on the year. After this series, the Giants will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in a series at home.

Giants Drop 7 Of Their Last 9 Games

Jung Hoo Lee has 90 hits including a team-high 20 doubles along with 8 triples, 6 home runs and 41 RBIs with 6 stolen bases while Heliot Ramos has 104 hits with 19 doubles, 14 home runs and 50 RBIs. Wilmer Flores also has 12 home runs and 59 RBIs while Mike Yastrzemski has 8 home runs with 28 RBIs and 14 doubles and Tyler Fitzgerald has a team-high 9 stolen bases as well on the year. Matt Chapman also has 69 hits with 14 home runs and 38 RBIs along with 14 doubles and Willy Adames has 86 hits with 16 doubles, 15 home runs and 53 RBIs.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road win.
• The Giants have won five of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The favorites have covered the run line in three of the Mets’ last four games at Oracle Park.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Willy Adames has recorded a Double in three of the Giants’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Willy Adames has hit at least one home run in two of the Giants’ last three games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last four road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Giants’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

I’m siding with the under in this one. I get the case to be made for either side here, but you have two of the better lefties in their respective rotations and both have been in fine form as of late as well. The Mets have had issues against lefties over the last month while the Giants have had issues with lefties more often than not and have been a relatively ineffective offense for much of the season. I think we have a low-scoring battle on the horizon. Give me the under.