Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Diego Padres | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 24-17 | 23-16 |
| Spread | +1.5 -186 | -1.5 153 |
| Moneyline | +129 | -156 |
| Total | Over 7 (-115) | Under 7 (-105) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 23-16 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL Central. They have a 14-8 home record and are coming off a 6-4 win at home against the Padres. They will face the Twins and the Cubs next.
The Brewers have a .243 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .358 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Brice Turang is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average. William Contreras leads the team in RBI with 26, and Jake Bauers adds a team‑high 6 home runs.
Jacob Misiorowski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 3-2 record, 2.45 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.
San Diego Padres Preview
The San Diego Padres have a 24-17 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL West. They have a 11-7 away record and are coming off a 4-6 loss on the road against the Brewers. They will face the Mariners and the Rockies next.
The Padres have a .223 batting average this season, .297 OBP and .370 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Xander Bogaerts is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 23. He adds a team‑high 7 home runs.
Michael King (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and he has a 3-2 record, 2.76 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: May 13, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 2.45
- Home Record: 2-0
- Last 5 against Padres: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight home games.
- The Padres have lost each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael King Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 2.76
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-2
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last seven road games following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last four Wednesday night games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 17 home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Brewers at American Family Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Padres’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Brewers’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Padres’ last 13 games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Padres and Brewers at American Family Field.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Brewers as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Brewers as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (70) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Xander Bogaerts has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as underdogs.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 10 road games against the Brewers.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T9th in the league in Steals (10) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (27).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (31).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (300).
- The Padres rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.223).
Padres vs Brewers Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Padres vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -150 home favorites. Both pitchers in this matchup have been excellent with a combined 5.21 ERA and both teams also have top-11 bullpens so far, so I don’t expect a lot of runs in this game. Prior to yesterday’s game, both teams were 14-2-1 to the under in their last 17 games combined and I expect them to switch back to that trend with two red-hot pitchers on the mound. Take the under 7 runs in this one.


