Royals vs Phillies Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 13th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 74-74 this season after they lost game one by a score of 8-2 on Friday night. Kansas City led 1-0 in the first inning, but they allowed the next six runs in the game for the loss. The Royals recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Witt Jr and Garcia, who both had one RBI in the loss. Kansas City started Lorenzen, who allowed 10 hits and six earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Clarke allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Royals lost three out of four against the Guardians, but did win two out of three against the Twins before that. Kansas City has lost five of their last six games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 561 runs with a .243 batting average and a .305 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 30 home runs and 102 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 25 home runs and 81 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Ryan Bergert, who is 2-2 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 72.1 innings pitched this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 88-60 this year after they won game one by a score of 8-2 last night. Philadelphia tied the game at one in the second and scored six runs in the first four innings to secure the victory. The Phillies recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Stott and Harper, who both had two RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Buehler, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Mayza allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Mets in four games and won two out of three against the Marlins. Philadelphia has won five games in a row and they are leading the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 717 runs with a .261 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 50 home runs and 124 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 16 home runs and 65 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 4-8 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 111.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Royals 

The Phillies have won each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
The Royals have lost each of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games following a loss.
The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park.
The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the last six games between the Royals and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
Eight of the Royals’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last seven games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Phillies’ last 12 games against AL Central opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against AL opponents.
Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Royals.
Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies’ last three games against the Royals.
Taijuan Walker has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL Central opponents.
Bryson Stott has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games against the Royals at Citizens Bank Park.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in three of the Royals’ last five games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Royals as road underdogs against NL opponents.

Royals vs Phillies Prediction 

Kansas City is desperately trying to snap this slide they are currently on, but they just don’t have the offense to consistently beat good teams. The Royals are 34-39 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 50-23 at home. Philadelphia is rolling right now, but they are starting Walker, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three straight starts. KC is going with Bergert, who has had a solid season, but allowed eight earned runs in his last outing. I don’t love backing Walker, but I can’t trust the KC offense. Take the Phillies -1.5 here.