Jul 30, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. (7) throws to first base during the first inning against the Atlanta Braves at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction 08/01/2025 Picks

Pick details

Kansas City (54-55) vs Toronto (64-46)

August 1, 2025 at 07:07 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto -154 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 1st at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 54-55 this year after they won two out of three against Atlanta by scores of 7-10, 9-6, and 1-0. In their game three win, Kansas City was held scoreless for the first nine innings, but scored in the 10th to escape with the victory. The Royals recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Perez, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the win. KC started Zerpa, who opened the game, while Long picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Royals won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Cubs. Kansas City has won five of their last seven games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 393 runs with a .244 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 18 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 4-9 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 117.1 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 64-46 this season after they lost three out of four against Baltimore by scores of 4-11, 4-16, 2-3, and 9-8. In their game four win, Toronto trailed 5-3 in the fifth, but they scored the next six runs in the game, before barely hanging on for the victory. The Blue Jays recorded 13 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Lukes and Straw, who both had three RBIs in the win. Toronto started Berrios, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Fluharty got the win and Hoffman picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays won three out of four against the Tigers and two out of three against the Yankees. Toronto has lost four of their last five games, but they are still leading the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 520 runs with a .265 batting average and a .336 on base percentage this season. George Springer has led Toronto with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 13 home runs and 67 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 7-7 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 122.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Royals

  • The Royals have lost 16 of their last 17 games at Rogers Centre against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have won 12 of their last 13 home games.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games at Rogers Centre.

Why the Royals will beat the Blue Jays

  • The Royals have won five of their last six road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents.
  • The Royals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games.
  • The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last five home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Royals’ last four games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Royals’ last nine night games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four night games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games against AL Central opponents.
  • Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three night games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Massey has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last two games against the Blue Jays.
  • Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 road appearances after not playing the previous day.

Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto had some trouble against Baltimore in their last series, but they are still one of the top teams in the MLB right now. The Jays are 37-17 at home this year, while the Royals are 26-27 on the road. Kansas City has been inconsistent for most of the season, but they are playing some of their best ball right now. The Royals are going with Wacha, who has allowed one earned run in three straight starts. The Blue Jays are going with Gausman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the under in this game with both pitchers rolling right now. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 8

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