In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 1st at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 44-41 this year after they lost game one by a score of 13-6 on Monday night. Cincinnati fell behind in the first inning, but they scored four runs to cut the deficit to 7-4, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Reds recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hays, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Cincinnati started Burns, who allowed five hits and five earned runs over 0.1 innings for the loss, while Phillips allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Padres and two out of three against the Yankees. Cincinnati has alternated wins and losses over their last six games and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 393 runs with a .248 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, while TJ Friedl has added eight home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 7-6 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 85.2 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 42-44 this season after they won game one on Monday night. Boston scored seven runs in the first inning and they were able to cruise the rest of the way for the win. The Red Sox recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Abreu, who went 2-5 with two home runs and five RBIs in the win. Boston started Crochet, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Alcala allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Angels. Boston has won two of their last three games and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 412 runs with a .250 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Trevor Story has led Boston with 12 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 16 home runs and 45 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Richard Fitts, who is 0-3 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 25.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Reds
The Red Sox have won 16 of their last 18 night games against National League opponents following a home win.
The Reds have lost each of their last six Tuesday games against teams that held a losing record.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine home games.
The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Reds will beat the Red Sox
The Reds have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine Tuesday games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites following a win.
The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games at Fenway Park.

Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Reds’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Red Sox’s last four home games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six home games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Reds’ last seven night games at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games as home favorites.
Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his 16 previous appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three road appearances against AL East opponents.
Brady Singer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.

Reds vs Red Sox Prediction 
Boston was able to erupt for 13 runs in their win on Monday night, as they try to find some much needed momentum. The Red Sox are 24-19 at home this year, while the Reds are 20-22 on the road. Cincinnati has had some very inconsistent pitching and they are starting Singer, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The Red Sox are starting Fitts, who has allowed seven earned runs and eight hits over his last 5.0 innings of work. Take the over in this game. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 9.5