Reds vs Phillies Prediction 5/20/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 20th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 25-24 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 4-5 and 4-1. In game two, Cincinnati trailed 1-0 in the third inning, but they scored the last four runs for the win. The Reds recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by De La Cruz, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Burns allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Santillan got the save. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Nationals. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.74 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 212 runs with a .226 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 11 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 11 home runs and 32 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 3-2 with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 51.1 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 25-24 this season after they lost game two by a score of 4-1 on Tuesday night. Philadelphia took the lead in the third inning, but they went scoreless over the last six innings for the loss. The Phillies recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Turner, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Luzardo allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Banks allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia swept the Pirates in three games and won two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while they have scored 205 runs with a .232 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 20 home runs and 36 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 12 home runs and 30 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 2-3 with a 5.91 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 45.2 innings pitched this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine games against the Reds at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.
• The Reds have lost nine of their last 10 games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five home games against the Reds following a loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have lost seven of their last 10 games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last 10 games at Citizens Bank Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Reds and Phillies.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Reds’ last 10 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Reds’ last six day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of his last five home appearances with the Phillies against NL opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in 19 of his last 24 appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Reds.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• JJ Bleday has hit a home run in four of his last nine road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 16 games as road underdogs.

Reds vs Phillies Prediction 

Cincinnati was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Tuesday night, but they have allowed at least five runs in four of their last five games. The Reds are 12-13 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 13-13 at home. Philadelphia has been red hot over the last two weeks and they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five. The Phillies are starting Nola, who has allowed 5+ earned runs in three of his last five starts, while Abbott has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last four starts. Take the Reds here, as Abbott has been fantastic in recent outings.

David Racey's Pick: Reds ML