In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 6th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 46-43 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 9-6 and 1-5. In their game two loss, Cincinnati led 1-0 in the fifth inning, but they couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Reds recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Benson, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Cincinnati started Lodolo, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Suter allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Padres before that. Cincinnati has lost three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 414 runs with a .248 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 10 home runs and 37 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and a 2.44 WHIP over 5.1 innings pitched this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-37 this year after they won game two by a score of 5-1 on Saturday afternoon. Philadelphia scored once in the fifth, twice in the sixth, and twice in the eighth to pull away with the win. The Phillies recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bohm and Schwarber, who both had two RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Romano picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Padres and two out of three against the Braves. Philadelphia has won four of their last six games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 410 runs with a .256 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 27 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 11 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 8-3 with a 2.27 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 107.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Reds
The Phillies have won seven of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
The Reds have lost five of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park against teams that held a winning record.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games as underdogs after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts
Each of the Phillies’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Nine of the Reds’ last 12 road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Reds’ last 16 day games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last seven games as home favorites.
Trea Turner has recorded two hits in each of the Phillies’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Zack Wheeler has recorded nine or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in five of the Reds’ last 11 day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 games against opponents that held a winning record.
Austin Hays has recorded a Double in each of the Reds’ last three games as underdogs against NL opponents.

Reds vs Phillies Prediction 
Philadelphia bounced back from their loss in game one with a nice win on Saturday, as they continue to hold off the Mets in the NL East. The Phillies are 29-16 at home this year, while the Reds are 22-24 on the road. Cincinnati has played decently well over the last few weeks, but their pitching staff has allowed at least five runs in four of their last five games. The Reds are starting Burns, who ha allowed eight earned runs and 11 hits in 5.1 innings of work. The Phillies are going with Wheeler, who has allowed zero earned runs in three straight outings. Take the Phillies -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Pick: Phillies -1.5