Reds vs Marlins Prediction 4/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 7th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 7-3 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 2-0 on Monday. Cincinnati scored once in the fourth inning and once in the eighth inning, which was enough to get the shutout win. The Reds recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Stewart and Stephenson, who both had one RBI. Williamson allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Pagan picked up his fourth save. Prior to this series, Cincinnati swept the Rangers in three games, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 2.93 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .207 opponent batting average, while they have scored 28 runs with a .210 batting average and a .290 on base percentage. Eugenio Suarez has led the Reds with two home runs and seven RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added two home runs and five RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 0-1 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 11.2 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 6-4 this year after they dropped game one by a score of 2-0 on Monday. Miami didn’t generate many baserunners in the game and they never really threatened in the shutout loss. The Marlins recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lopez, who went 2-4 at the plate. Junk allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 7.1 innings in the loss, while Phillips finished the last 1.2 innings in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the White Sox before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .193 opponent batting average, while they have scored 49 runs with a .260 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and nine RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.56 WHIP over 16.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last four games at LoanDepot Park following a loss.
• The Reds have lost three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four games at LoanDepot Park following a loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Marlins have lost eight of their last 10 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 Tuesday night games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last eight home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Marlins’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Reds’ last 10 night games against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Sandy Alcantara has recorded nine strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Marlins as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 Tuesday night appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven home appearances with the Marlins against NL opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
• JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.

Reds vs Marlins Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have allowed a total of one run in their last three games. The Reds are 4-0 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 5-2 at home. Miami has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 6+ runs in three of those four. These are two solid pitchers on the mound in this one, but Alcantara has looked elite through 16.0 innings. Take the Marlins at home.

David Racey's Pick: Marlins ML