Reds vs Cubs Prediction 8/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 29th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 64-71 this season after they won game one by a score of 10-8 on Friday. Cincinnati led 9-3 in the seventh inning, but they allowed the next five runs and nearly blew the lead. The Reds recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Stephenson, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Lowder allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Pagan picked up the save. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Giants and two out of three against the Diamondbacks. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.58 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 558 runs with a .228 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 29 home runs and 102 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 21 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 6-9 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 145.1 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 76-59 this year after they lost game one by a score of 8-10 yesterday afternoon. Chicago led 3-0 in the third inning, but didn’t score again until the seventh in the loss. The Cubs recorded 13 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Ramirez, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Peterson allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Thornton picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Mariners. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 703 runs with a .249 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 33 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Kevin Gausman, who is 7-11 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 150.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Reds have lost 12 of their last 13 Saturday games at Wrigley Field.
• The Cubs have won six of their last seven home games following a home loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Wrigley Field following a home loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games following a win.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four home games.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Cubs have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won three of the Reds’ last four games.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Cubs’ last five home games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last three games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last four day games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 15 of the Cubs’ last 18 games as home favorites.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last seven home games against NL opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Sal Stewart has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games at Wrigley Field.
• Andrew Abbott has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
• Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 15 road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Reds vs Cubs Prediction 

Cincinnati was able to start this series with a win on Friday and they have scored 20 runs in their last two games. The Reds are 32-35 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 38-28 at home. Chicago has lost three in a row, but they have scored 7+ in three of their last five. The Cubs are starting Gausman, who has allowed 0, 3, 6, and 2 earned runs in his last four starts, while Abbott has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5