Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction 07/06/2025 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 6th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 45-45 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 11-2 and 10-3. In their game two win, Boston scored the first nine runs in the game and they were able to pick up an easy win. The Red Sox recorded 11 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Rafaela, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Boston started Buehler, who allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while three relievers combined for zero earned runs over 4.0 innings. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Reds, but did drop two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. Boston has won four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 442 runs with a .253 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 17 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 13 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 8-4 with a 2.34 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 115.1 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 37-52 this season after they lost game two by a score of 10-3 on Saturday. Washington was able to cut the deficit to 9-3 in the sixth inning, but they couldn’t get any closer in the blowout loss. The Nationals recorded nine hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Ruiz and Bell, who both had one RBI in the loss. Washington started Parker, who allowed 10 hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Loutos, Salazar, and Rutledge allowed zero earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Angels. Washington has lost three of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.15 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 393 runs with a .246 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 23 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 13 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Shinnosuke Ogasawara, who is making his first appearance of the season. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Red Sox
The Nationals have won four of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
The Nationals have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts
Each of the Nationals’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Red Sox’s last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight road games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven day games between the Red Sox and Nationals.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
CJ Abrams has hit at least one home run in three of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents.
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances.
Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Double in five of the Red Sox’s last six games.
Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction 
Boston has scored 21 runs in the first two games of this series and they are looking to complete the series sweep here. The Red Sox are 20-25 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 18-27 at home. Washington has one of the worst pitching staffs in the MLB and they are starting Ogasawara, who is making his MLB debut. Boston is starting Crochet, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. We know Crochet is one of the better pitchers in the MLB, but we have also seen him allow five earned runs in two of his last five outings. Washington has a dangerous lineup and I am willing to take a shot with them at this price.