Jun 24, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA;  Tampa Bay Rays right fielder Junior Caminero (13) doubles in the eighth inning against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter Aiken-Imagn Images

Rays vs Royals Prediction 06/25/2025 Picks

Pick details

Tampa Bay (44-35) vs Kansas City (38-41)

June 25, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 25th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 44-35 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-1 on Tuesday night. Tampa Bay scored the first five runs in the game and they were able to coast to the win. The Rays recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Jansen, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Bradley, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Kelly allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Tigers and split four games with the Orioles. Tampa Bay has won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 376 runs with a .256 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 19 home runs and 50 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 15 home runs and 42 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 6-5 with a 2.61 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 79.1 innings pitched this year. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 38-41 this season after they lost on Tuesday night by a score of 5-1. Kansas City didn’t generate much offense in the game, but they did score in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Royals recorded four hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Pasquantino, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. KC started Bubic, who allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Lynch IV allowed three hits and one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Padres, but did sweep the Rangers in three games before that. Kansas City has lost three games in a row and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 263 runs with a .245 batting average and a .299 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 11 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 10 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 4-6 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 86.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rays will beat the Royals
The Royals have lost each of their last eight home games.
The Rays have won each of their last four road games.
The road team has covered the run line in nine of the Royals’ last 10 games.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games.
The Rays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last three road games.

Total Runs Facts
Five of the Royals’ last six games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Rays’ last five games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Royals’ last eight night games against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rays’ last seven road games against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last five games against the Rays at Kauffman Stadium.
Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 13 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Michael Wacha has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
Maikel Garcia has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four home games against AL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Royals.
Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances.
Drew Rasmussen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as favorites against AL opponents.
Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Rays vs Royals Prediction 
Kansas City comes into this matchup looking to snap their three game losing streak, but they are the lowest scoring team in the MLB so far this season. The Royals are 19-20 at home this year, while the Rays are 17-12 on the road. Tampa Bay has scored at least five runs in three of their last four games and they are going against Wacha, who has been very inconsistent this year. The Rays will start Rasmussen, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take Tampa Bay to get the win here. 

David Racey's Pick: Rays ML

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