Your cart is currently empty!

Rangers vs Padres Prediction 07/05/2025 Picks
Pick details
Texas (43-45) vs San Diego (47-40)
July 5, 2025 at 09:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Rangers vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 5th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 43-45 this season after they lost game one by a score of 3-2 on Friday night. Texas led 2-0 in the third inning, but they went scoreless over the last seven innings for the extra innings loss. The Rangers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Semien, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Texas started Rocker, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Garcia picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Rangers won two out of three against the Orioles, but lost two out of three against the Mariners before that. Texas has lost three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.21 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 332 runs with a .228 batting average and a .296 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with 10 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 11 home runs and 24 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jack Leiter, who is 4-5 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 71.1 innings pitched this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 47-40 this year after they won game one in extra innings on Friday night. San Diego was able to tie the game in the sixth inning and they scored the lone run in extra innings to escape with a victory. The Padres recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Cronenworth, Machado, and Arraez, who all had one RBI in the win. San Diego started Vasquez, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Morejon picked up the win.
Prior to this series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Reds. San Diego has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 355 runs with a .245 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with 15 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Manny Machado has added 14 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Stephen Kolek, who is 3-3 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Padres will beat the Rangers
The Padres have won each of their last eight games against the Rangers following a win.
The Rangers have lost each of their last seven games at Petco Park.
The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games after going to extra innings.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Padres following a loss.
The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games at Petco Park against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Padres’ last five games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six road games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last six games at Petco Park.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last five games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with the Padres as home favorites against AL opponents.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Corey Seager has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
Rangers vs Padres Prediction
Texas continued their road struggles this season with another loss on Friday night and they are now 17-26 on the road this year. San Diego is 26-14 at home this year, but they need to go on a run if they want to keep pace with the Dodgers. The Padres are starting Kolek, who has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The Rangers are going with Leiter, who has also allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four. I think the pitching matchup is pretty even, but we can’t trust these Texas bats on the road. Take the Padres at home.